180: 2026 Oscar Predictions

This oversized Oscar episode has it all: unhinged rants, passionate appeals, analytic predictions, and friendly arguments. 

In Part 1 (00:23:16), Alex and Nick trash the shoddy award shows so far this year, before predicting the winners for every category of the 98th Academy Awards. 

Part 2 (01:43:33) is the WAYW Oscars, where the guys each pick their own nominees and winners for every major Oscar category. 

Join our Instagram Live at WAYW_Podcast on the day of the awards for our final Oscar picks! Sunday, March 15, 2025, 2:00 p.m. PST.

Follow @WAYW_Podcast on Instagram / Letterboxd / X
Send mailbag questions to whatareyouwatchingpodcast@gmail.com

Transcript

0:10

Hey, everyone. Welcome to. What are you watching? I'm Alex Switzer, and I'm joined by my best man, Nick Dell. So how are you doing there? The bride. Oh, yeah. We have to say, as we're as we're instructed in the movie, we have to say the bride. That's her name. That's my name. The bride, which I saw last night, directed by Maggie Gyllenhaal. I like that there's an exclamation point there. I don't mind exclamation point. I minded the movie. Yeah, that was good. Man. Man. Not trying to start off on a bad note, but, you know, it's like, what are you watching? We've been off for a couple weeks for good reason, which I may touch on kind of briefly, but yeah, I went and saw that last night and just none of the promise of what the trailer, promised none of that, like fast cutting up tempo. It is not that it is. It is a weird mash up of a movie. I was catching a little bit of Joker, too, because I'm like. Like, I mean, if you want, you know, like a 30s Fred Astaire musical. Maggie Gyllenhaal's The Bride. If you want a 30s like cops and robbers thing, you know, chasing out their bad guys. The bride. If you want a Frankenstein movie, the bride, you want a crazy woman movie. The bride, Penelope Cruz is here for, like, virtually no reason. The bride, just a lot of stuff going on. A lot of driving, a lot of talking, a lot of musical numbers. My drive. Yeah, well, I know how I feel about that. I didn't know how I felt about it either when it was going on. And I went, oh, this is the movie. Like there are a bunch of, like, fantasy musical sequences in this. This is not okay. Just wasn't for me. I felt I thought very low energy. But, you know, I, I brought that up because I was going to call you Frankenstein because I know you are a fan of Jacob Elordi nominee Jacob Elordi, his performance in Frankenstein. And it's just like, I don't know when The Walking Dead started, like the 20 tens, but we did the whole zombie thing for a while. 28 years later. Started that zombie thing. Yeah. In Twilight we switch to vampires. Yeah, doing that for a while now we're too stuck in Frankenstein like we're back to vampires. Yeah. Ish. Yeah, yeah. Like poor things is Frankenstein. Guillermo del Toro did Frankenstein. Maggie Gyllenhaal is doing it. Yeah. Now I guess we'll go back to vampires. They're represented this year here on our Oscar ballots. Well, the date is March 7th, 2026. The 1998 Academy Awards. We gotta do some fun. Two years from now, I don't know what. We'll go crazy. Oh, we'll throw a parade. The 98th Annual Academy Awards are on Sunday, March 15th, 2026. We have eight days till the big Show and this is our episode. If you're new to the podcast and joining us, this is our episode where we cautiously predict who we think is going to win and then say who we want to win. Yeah, with the caveat that we're going to do a live stream on Instagram at WW underscore podcast about an hour and a half before the show starts on Sunday, March 15th. That's where our final predictions are. Like final, final. They may not change too much, but I don't know. Oscar voting did end yesterday, I believe. So whatever is in is in any other drama that comes out in the press, any other shots fired will not matter. Yeah, folks are in. So it just gives like it gives us a week or me a week to kind of assess, you know, get me me because I look I study depending on how much shit you talk, we'll see what kind of what kind of night it's going to be if I'm going to, you know, handicap. I'm like Ace Rothstein or if I'm just going to go in and lead with my heart. But this episode is a little bit more. I'm kind of going with, you know, instinct, my heart a little bit. But, you know, Oscar's Oscar's here among us. How how are you feeling about the temperature of the academy Awards? Well, I got to say, there's a lot that's gone down in the last couple weeks. Yeah. You know, as long as I've been doing this pod, as long as we've been doing this pod. But I should say the long is that I have been in the know of the Oscar narrative race. I don't think I've ever paid more attention to it than this year. Interesting. Because this is a very difficult year. I always pay attention. It has been easy the past few years for me. I'm always nervous, like is who I want to win. Are they going to win? This year's tough. This is very tough. It's very tough. And I it's so it's been very fascinating for me to kind of really like I've been watching all the interviews. I've been watching all the awards. I've been hearing all the things I'm even down to, like what's kind of in the know for like the documentaries. And so I feel very informed that being said, it is is in credibly hard to try to pick these wins because essentially what you have to do in this situation is you're trying to do what we do, call the night, and try to get like a perfect, guest dimension of what is going to win. Then you are kind of forced to have to make it like you have to make a choice. Yeah, you have to kind of decide that you think that this is how the night is going to go. And we I think we will both know by the very first award, which is generally best supporting actor. Well, little, little correction it used, they used to go back and forth. It would be supporting actor. So if it was supporting actor last year would be supporting actors this year then would be supporting actor next year. It'd go back and forth. Well now they do a bunch of crazy shit. Sometimes they start with screenplay sometimes, but yes, you're yes, I'm going to hit on that too. Like if, if the first few awards, like if they start with visual effects in which they won't. But if they did and it's like, okay, that goes to avatar. No flags raised yet. If visual effects, this won't happen. If that goes to centers, if something like sound goes to centers, if editing goes to centers, we are be ready for a huge centers wave. I actually, despite what I said on the nominations part of calm down a little bit, I don't think we're going to see a big sweep like that. I don't think we're going to see record breaking numbers. It is the most nominated film in Academy Awards history, but I don't. I've calmed down a little. I don't I don't think we're going to see that. But if you do see centers take something that, you know, the masses thought was going to go to something else. Oh, baby, look out, it's coming for everything. I think I have put together a valid prediction that you will respect. Respect it. That's all you can hope for because you're never going to get my, I'm never going to admit that you have a possibility of winning, but I will respect it. Respect for me when we're doing this, you have to. You know, if you listen to the Oscar nominations pod or a top 25 or top ten of 2025, our favorite movie shared. Favorite movie of the year, one battle after another that does not mean you can go, oh, that's my favorite movie. I think it's going to win everything it's nominated for. That's absurd, that that's not how you can go about this. There are a lot of major categories that everyone in the town admits are not like five way up in the air, but definitely there's 2 or 3 movies or performances in the running. This is true of almost every major award, and that makes it fun. I'm not a big fan of the most nominated film of the year. It wasn't my favorite movie of the year, didn't make either of our top tens. That's okay. It's going to be a very interesting night. I cannot stress enough again, how the two biggest movies of the year in terms of Oscars, One Battle After Another and Sinners are both repped by Warner Brothers. This is something is going on behind the scenes that no one like people you and I and podcasters and podcast listeners can never know. But this is the same company. It's this, you know, the same marketing departments. They may have their own factions and stuff, but I've heard the sentence of these two movies are talking to each other throughout this award season, and they are there to be a very crafty split of sinners and one battle sharing all the major awards. But I don't think you're going to see one of them completely shut out, and I don't think you're going to see one of them completely sweep. I think it's going to be a good balance, and I think we're going to have some other films that you and I aren't the biggest fans of. That could make some waves to which we'll get to I believe you're right, and I believe I have those predictions. Oh, so yes, we'll talk. I'm going to keep this brief because, man, it's been a tough row to hoe to get to the Oscars, talking about literally just the telecasts of the of the prior awards that have come before. The only good one. And I think you can I agree, you and the only good one. Sorry, I'm getting riled up. I think that you and I can agree on are the Golden Globes, which are usually usually the silliest and the worst, and they were the best. And then, I mean, again, we'll breeze through them. But like the Critics Choice, were it duds, the BAFTAs were the best. No one ever talks about the BAFTAs. Certainly no one. Like on social media. It's never a thing. They made the news this year for a horrible reason, like a truly terrible reason that had. Let me be clear, I'm not going to I'm not going to litigate what it was. But the reason why the BAFTA telecast was so horrible was not because of what anyone yelled in the audience. You invited someone who had Tourette's. They did what people who have that condition do. The fault is on whoever edited that damn telecast and did not and decided, yeah, we'll take out those political words and those homophobic slurs, but we're not going to take out the racial language that is rage banning fucking nonsense. And whoever is responsible for that, the persons or persons at BAFTA need to quit, be fired. I know some have resigned, but that that was like I didn't even watch the show because I thought that was so mortifying. I thought that was just gross and discussing to to leave that in. And then the Sags were, well, no, the indie spirits were like, Jesus Crown that that was, I don't know what those were. That's one of the worst. That's usually my favorite. Like show. And we talk about on the pod like Support Your Indies. Some of the winners were great. Some of those top ten of the year winners won Train Dreams worker great awards. The award show itself was a disaster. You always, always perfectly timed that to be the Saturday before the Oscars for one very logistical, pragmatic reason. Because everyone who's going to the Oscars is already in town. They're already in Los Angeles. They have no excuse to not come to the indie spirits when you hold it, what, three weeks before the Oscars at After winners announced and they are not there. What they're telling you is your award show does it. They don't give enough of a shit about your award show to show up. So they thought it was just too big of a like a branch out. They move locations. It always had this charm in the Santa Monica tent. That thing was a disaster. That was a really bad telecast. It was it was it was bad across. Yeah. In terms of the actual put together idea of the show, because the nominees and you and I had spoke about this, we were very big fans of that, that this particular year of the nominations, because they really did highlight a lot of the really great gold to come out of this year. That will not and, has not been talked about since. So, you know, you talk about you know, sorry baby did actually get a lot of talk which I'm very, very glad. And she won. Yeah. And she won. Just great and lurker and you know that that really got a lot of really great wins right there. You know. Yeah. So it really did champion those movies in terms of the nominations and the winners. But as a telecast and my God, I don't even I can't even blame the hosts because she brought her own personality. She brought her brand to what that is. And that's what a host is supposed to do. But what she had to work with, it was terrible. She was clearly like, okay, the this I shouldn't say clearly to me it read, is she got this dog shit material and then took her energy to like if the the top is ten, she took it to 15. Yeah. The whole time. And you're like, whoa. Like this is you're like screaming at us and this is. And then the bits they put her in were really just, idiotic. And then we get to the Sags, which, like, again, the winners were the winners, kind of made the Oscars more interesting because we're still we're kind of over the place, but like, the Sags are typically no host. Two hours, no bits. You run it along. This was a Netflix streaming thing where they're like, hey, guess what? We can say fuck now. And they're like, oh, and I like Kristen Bell. Fine. But like, Jesus, the bits like never ended. And putting all the TV first and then putting your five little movie awards at the very end, just a bad show. Like, didn't move it along. So the shows have not been good. We need to get these Oscars need to move. You know, we got a good host. Conan's back. We gotta we gotta move him along. Stop with these silly ass bits. And this. Oh, like the presenter speeches for, like, every presenter got up for a SAG. They talk for like two minutes about just that canned terrible, you know, text that they have to say every nominee this year gave. But it's just so stupid to say the nominees. Yeah. There was only really honestly a handful of speeches. And by a handful, I mean maybe two that, felt heartfelt and, you know, and something good to say. However, there was one redeeming quality about that award show, and it certainly was not Woody Harrelson's, speech. I like, that was that was something else but Harrison Ford and winning the lifetime Achievement award for being an actor for the Actor Awards. Now, Alex, because they're no longer the SAG Awards, they're the. Yeah sure goods. Yeah. Rebrand. They made all the difference. Yeah they did. But I did really love his speech. You know, he he really felt, you know, because Harrison Ford is always so, he always presents himself in such a way of, you know, joking and kind of not really, you know, making it as serious as it is. But there were some moments where he really let in about, like, what this life is meant to him and the people I love. When he talked about some of the people of, that got him into this business that had passed on and how they, you know, he was like, I feel that they'd be happy for me. I don't know, there were just things right there where I was like this. If anything about this show is worth watching, it's definitely just listening to Harrison Ford accept this award and very deservingly. So yeah, 100% agree. Like that's it's a little different because they know about that ahead of time. They can yeah. It's their speech. They can write their speech. Load it into the teleprompter. So that's a woody and and and you will this. Thank you. You will agree with me. Did Woody Harrelson, inarguably stoned out of his mind, have to ramble for ten minutes leading up to it? And then and this happened with it like an hour or 15 into the show and the Sags are usually two hours. So I'm like, all right, he's going to talk for ten minutes. Ford's going to get up there and talk for ten minutes like, you know. But yes, good speech. It was. Yeah, he was good. He's looking old. Harrison is old. But yeah he's looking old. They're all they're getting up there. We're all they're all of that in that In Memoriam section. Oh tags went on forever. And I'm like oh my god this is it's going to be more and more of, you know, it's going to be more difficult every year because these legends we're going to keep losing them. I mean, the people that we were like kind of raised on that, like our parents liked, they're starting to go, you know, well, I was going to say, this just goes to our age, you know, we're we're men of a certain age, where, you know, my whole entire life, you know, watching these award shows and, you know, really for anything where there's an in memoriam, there's usually, like, one person, maybe, that I've heard of. Yeah, but it's just this is for the rest of our lives. This will continue to get more and more because we're more familiar with these older people. So even some of these actors that get the small little attention, you know, that had passed on were like, oh, yeah, I remember that actor. I remember that actor from that show, from that one show, that one episode that for some reason, just seeing their face locks in my memory again, that's just going to keep happening more. But then you got the bigger heavy hitters this year. I think was the most. And I with this was be a good time to bring it up just for a second, because we did have a lot of passing, but we did recently do an episode lot recently anymore. But the Rules of Attraction and, you know, and I just don't feel like there would ever be a time where we were able to have, like, a conversation about James Vanderbeek in the way of his career and, that one got me. That one got me a lot. You know, it's wild. The, since he passed, which was I knew he had cancer. I didn't know it was, I don't know the right word that it was fatal. You know, I thought it was being treated and stuff. The. There's always a weird balance of, like. Like that happened, and. Yeah, we talked about that movie. We talked about him. Part of me wants to, like, promote it and be like, you know, I'm so sorry you passed. Here's our podcast episode. But I don't do that because it feels it doesn't feel right. Cheap. Noting that the numbers for that episode are downloads have skyrocketed. Wow. People have found it. And it has been our number one downloaded most downloaded episode since he passed away. And I'm like, whoa. So that leads me to believe that, like, not a lot of people talked about that movie, him and all that stuff. So yeah, that one man, there's a lot that rocked me. There's like that, which is disease. There's Redford and of course Hackman, which is old age. And then there's we haven't really talked about it, but there's Rob Reiner, which was, that's a tragic one. James Ransone, you know, Ziggy from The Wire, who I met in LA one night walking out of an arc like he was just there smoking a cigaret with his friends, and I told him how much his work meant to me, you know, James Ransone, I mean, and. Yeah. And then, the Rob Reiner stuff was, horrible. Kind of hit close to home for me, given, all the stuff. And, you know, this. Yeah. This shit happens. Like these tragedies been happening in Hollywood since the birth of Hollywood. You can go back and look at, like, famous person who's killed for whatever reason. But, yeah, it is a very, sad in memoriam this year. It is. It is a flush segment, and that is a bad thing. It just sucks when you see that. There was, it said Julian McMahon, who was. Oh, yeah, I heard of Nip Tuck. I watched every episode of Nip Tuck. I was like, he died. I loved that, looked like what? I didn't either. I've been meaning to look that up. I mean, what the hell? So, yeah, you know, people pass the Oscars, endure, I don't know, good transition. Well, transition to talk about visual effects. Our favorite Academy Award. We're going to start with visual effects. So we're going to go all the way up to Best Picture. There are 24 categories. And then we're just going to get going. We're going to start with this is going to be fun. We're going to do two parts. Part one we got to call out our our real Oscar predictions. We're going to do what we think is going to win the 19, The Cut, the 98 Academy Awards, and then part two, we are going to do the coveted Oscars, in which Nick and I use every single film from 2025 as eligible for our own Oscars. We have how many we have. I think I put ten awards here, I think so we're not going to do all 2410. We get to make up our own, not the big ones and our own winners. Yeah, all the major categories. And that is just fun for us because I like those more because we picked all the nominees. You're going to see, you're going to hear some repetition. It might I'll put it that way. But that's the way it goes. And I also, I also I, you you can do yours, but I don't know, we didn't talk about it, but I kept my best picture and I did this intentionally to five films because I still think I put that in the outline. I set it right there in the outline. I said five nominees, only oh or two. I said Best picture. Only five nominees. Yeah. Best picture. The real Oscars. Moving to ten was a marketing gimmick because The Dark Knight was not nominated for Best Picture in 2008. They thought by opening it, opening it up to ten, they could now include movies like The Dark Knight. But instead, what we get are things like The Secret Agent in Train Dreams. Not bad nominees, but I'm saying it didn't make room for like the big stuff. You do get F1 in there. Like F1 would not be here if it was exact nominees. But you know, it's I think it's just stupid. Every other category is five. It should be five. They should have they never should have changed it. And I'm really surprised they haven't gone back. And not to mention I'm not going into this again. I've done this like five years in a row that the voting is different, that like every other category, is you vote for your favorite best picture or some weird like everyone's number two choice could end up winning. I don't know, I think that's why Best Pictures, but they've been very yin and yang, very whiplash over the years. You get something like Green Book that is very stuck up and boring, and then the next year it's parasite, which is like crazy and wild and then, you know, so it can kind of go back and forth. I'm not going to be too hard on, you know, nominees and winners this year because they, the Oscars have given me two great years in a row. Oppenheimer. And then even more especially with Nora taking five last year. So I'm going to come kind as kind as I can be. Yeah. Because this is this is where I thrive. I'm not, you know, don't know too much about too much. But I know a lot about the Academy Awards. Let me tell you. Thanks, dad. Thanks, Bob. Making it a big event every year. Let me take the morning off to school to watch the nominations, and then let me take the day after the Oscars off to school, because watch it up late. Yeah. They were. Yeah, great, great supportive parents. I love them still to this day. All right. Especially still to this day. Oh, by the way, I definitely have to know what your dad said in response to that one text message. Oh, God. Oh. That was. Yeah. Well, yeah. I copied a message to Nick about which one was it about the SAG? It was about the it was about the awards, and it was about like your narrative and and, you ended it in a way, in the way that you speak to me. So everyone knows with, Yeah. Slightly degrading, you know, send off sentence. We'd, we tell each other to go fuck ourselves or we call each other, you know, bad ideas sometimes. I've never said anything bad about you ever. Just. I can pull up my fucking phone right now and split screen shots. You started this whole war, so I copied, I copied that text, and then pasted it to my dad without editing it. So I ended up calling my dad a very out of context bad, which he thought was really quite funny. And he goes, well, I think some of this was meant for me, but not all of it. I could just see your dad and your dad's just reaction like, oh, well, that's a that's a way to end it. Yep. Delete. Backspace. Check it. Just hilarious. All right. I've teed it up like five times. Best visual effects. I'm going to read the nominees and then we'll say our winners, and that's, you know. And by the way, I don't need too much explanation up top, but we'll get to explanation for the bigger categories. By the way, these are what we think will win. Yeah. Now what we want to what we think, what we think will win, what we want. Who is going to come in the Oscars in part two of this episode? So visual effects here are nominees avatar, Fire and Ash, F1, Jurassic World Rebirth, The Lost Bus and Sinners. I can start if it seems like it'd be very odd if avatar doesn't win this. If an avatar movie is nominated, it has to win. If it doesn't, that, something has gone amiss. Something has gone amiss. There's just no other way. And plus like that, I mean, you can say whatever you want about avatar. I think it's all been said, quite frankly. But the one thing that you can't say is that it doesn't look amazing. There's nothing like it. There just really isn't. You saw. Right? You and I did. Yeah. Yeah. That's the only, the only reason to see it is because of how it looks. You can put that on mute. I mean, you can turn your brain off to the dialog. It just watch. And that's. I put that in my letter, by the way. Do you like that? The story did not grab me. It felt like, Oh, my. The Way of Water, part two. I didn't see a ton of fire or a ton of ash. I thought I would see a bit more of both, and but the visuals, astounding. Like, what he's able to do is unparalleled. It is. And it's a terrible title. It's a really bad title. It's a really bad. It's just Jim The Way of Water. It's not a good title. No, it's not water. It's no, it's it's just so flowery. I just it's just garbage man. Big. Yeah. Big Jim not the strongest with dialog but the visual effects. My goodness gracious. Really really captivating. So they have to win. I don't know what else possibly could here. I mean, the only thing that they I think that they actually could, would be sinners, but that would just be if that wave you're talking about, if sinners wings visual effects. Look out if sinners wins our next category, best sound, look out here. The nominees, best sound F1 Frankenstein, One battle after another, sinners and sarod. I have not seen Sarat. It is in one theater here, far out of DC playing one show time of day. Haven't had a chance. Heard great things. I wish people would let us see their movies more easily. I think, when you're out here, that could be an option because that's playing at a bunch of AMC. That could be fun. I will be out there. I come out there soon. The hotel we're staying at is beep. Then the room number is beep. Come join us. No. Yeah, I think that would be a for your face. Like shake. Like I'm serious. I don't ever want anyone to know where I am at any time, including myself. I want to be gone. I was like all the people. The list like to invite. That would be me to be the one. Me like, yeah, come on over for you to be like, yeah. I was like, oh, this is a different visit. Well, I've seen a trailer and I mean, these nominees like a best Sound nominee for a foreign film is awesome. So that that leads me to believe that it has some technical craft, noting all that, I think this one has to go to F1. I think that's where this is going to go. I mean, again, I yeah, even if the movie wasn't for you, that thing sounded, pretty remarkable. And when you really have to kind of like, again, when you kind of go back, we always talk about this because it always is worth mentioning is that once you have done this stupid decision of combining sound mixing with sound editing, it's two different things. So you have to kind of like throw it all in there. And if you I mean to come up with some of those things that they came up with for F1, it really is it's astounding work. It's, it's it's on par with sound with that for one, with visual effects, for avatar in terms of what went into getting all that very fair that yeah, I think those are, you know, the same. It'll be weird if F1 wins visual effects. I don't think we're going to have an avatar. Is going to win one Oscar. And I think F1 is going to win maybe just one Oscar in my mind and maybe another one. But I think, yeah, I don't know. I don't know how it could take two, but it'll win this one. I believe. The shorts still working on him folks. First we're going to do best short live action. Here are the nominees. Butcher Steyn, a friend of Dorothy Jane Austen's period drama The Singers. Two people exchanging saliva. Unfortunately, as of this recording, I've seen none of them. The singers is on Netflix, and two people exchanging saliva, I believe is on YouTube. It is. Don't know where to find the other three. I don't know. This is going to be, a live stream one for me. I, you know, people exchanging saliva is a really cool title and a great song. It's like 30 minutes. But yeah, I don't I don't have a prediction here. If I had to guess. I mean, I honestly don't know. I have no idea. Well, we can always circle back on the day for this because I haven't. Yeah, that's usually what I hear. And but I do know and this goes for everybody out there when it comes to a lot of these, I'm not sure which one's exactly. But if you're looking at the best shorts, live, animated and the best documentary shorts, a lot of them are on YouTube. Actually, almost all of the animated shorts are on YouTube. And also canopy canopy. The library, has almost damn near all of these. So for anyone who might not be able to catch one of those, movie theaters where they're putting them all together because they can't find any of the documentary shorts in that way. And even some of the best documentaries features are on Kanopy as well. So for the time being, I'm just going to go with the singers purely for the reason that it got Netflix. Marketing. That is actually exactly what I was going to say off, like first guess, because it's just just throwing it out there. But yeah, a lot of the shorts are available. You can do a quick Google search and find like they have links to this stuff. But the first three I've not been able to find anywhere. That's why I haven't watched these yet, because I would like to watch them in one go. You know, if you're able to by to see them in a movie theater, that's always really fun to do. I'm not able to this year. Those theaters are pretty far from me. But hopefully, you know, if you if you got a short nominated just have it out there for free. That's what I'm always encouraging. But yeah, we'll probably have to circle back to that one. Definitely. In the next week I will watch at the very least singers. Thus singers and two people exchanging saliva animated. All these are easy to find. They're all on YouTube. I did a quick Google search, watched them all. I watched them all on nomination day, and I had a few that I caught up with yesterday. So best short animated butterfly for evergreen, the girl who Cried Pearl's retirement plan. The three sisters. I mean, have you seen him? I'm none. I've seen. I've seen three of them. They, you know, they were okay for evergreen was really weird. It was like a bear, like a little chips. And then I was pissed. He fucking goes, I know he goes for the potato chips and ends up killing his best friend. Yeah. So, like, just follow the moral of the movie, it's like potato chips aren't worth killing your best friend. I just like, all right, I mean, I, I, I, I got what it was, but I was sort of like, this whole entire thing is your fault. Like, you are a little prick and you killed your best friend. And yes, it's nice that, like, at the end, like you decided to kind of like, you know, recognize the error of your ways, I suppose. I don't know what you could really want in the short to. You kind of got a button that up. But I just remember thinking, little asshole. Yeah, retirement plan was like, really that crude animation. But, Dom Hill Gleason did the the narration for it. Yeah. The voiceover, which I thought was kind of cool. I probably liked that one the best. I don't know what when this I mean these I often get wrong like these are hard to predict right. So maybe butterfly like it was easy, I don't know, I the, the the one that I'm going with and I haven't seen this one, but I saw the trailer for it and it was the most production value to an animated short I've ever seen for a trailer. So I'm going to go with The Girl Who Cried Pearls. Yeah. So I yeah, I watched that yesterday and it was it was okay. I actually did like butterfly. Butterfly was pretty cool. It went some places that I didn't expect it. Definitely. It's definitely, at least some of the ones I've seen the most effective true story to. Yeah. And it is very I mean, if I honestly if I'm going to watch animation, I would rather watch something like that where it's so boldly artistic and, you're like, yeah, experimental expressionist. Yeah. Type like I thought it did good. Like moving through his life. And I mean, it is about a real person that I didn't even know existed. So I'm talking my way into it like that. Yeah, I, I like that one the most. So I'll probably put that to win. But again, I don't know. All right. What did you what's your pick as of right now until. Yeah I'm going with the girl who cried pearls. Seems like there was a lot of money in that. Well, money often, you know, can be a big factor to win. Exactly. Especially the shorts and Netflix distribution. All right, those are two shorts. We'll get to the other one in a little bit. Let's do best production design here. Things start to get a little tricky for me. Best production design nominees Frankenstein. Hamlet. Hamlet. Marty. Supreme one battle after another. Encinas. You want to go first? This is I don't know, I I'm going to go first. And and I and I don't think I'm going to be shaken, about this. This is where I am. This is where you're going to see my narratives start to form here for my prediction to be stirred. Okay. I am going with best production design for Frankenstein, as am I. Okay, I think we're going to do the same thing here. I have that too. I don't I don't think this goes to centers just because it's the sinners night. I don't I mean, Frankenstein, that movie wasn't for me necessarily, but damn, did it look good. I mean, the production design, cinematography actually not look good. I thought. I thought it looked flat and lifeless, but man, he puts his time into those sets like he builds those sets out and I, you know, he the Shape of water one this I thought like shape of water cleaned up. It didn't. It only won four Oscars one picture and director which are huge score and production design. I don't know why I had in my head that it was like seven, a 7 or 8 winner. And then Pan's Labyrinth won art direction, cinematography and makeup. So he is good in these technical areas. But yeah, I could see. Yeah, let's not give everything to sinners. One battle isn't strong enough here. Forget Marty Supreme, so let's go with Frankenstein. Interesting I do, I do have the same thing. Yeah. I mean, if the last bus was on here, forget about it. Yeah, of course, the whole thing was a bus. Best original song. Well, clearly, Diane Warren could have window, dear me, from Diane Warren. Restless or Golden from K-pop demon hunters. I lied to you from sinners. Sweet dreams of Joy from Viva Verdi and train dreams from train dreams. I do not possibly envision anything stopping stopping Golden from winning this from K-pop demon Hunters. It's the biggest lock of the entire, the the K-pop is the biggest lock of the entire night. Like you can't deny it. Agreed. So again, if I don't know the order of the awards. But if Sinas wins this or it wins production design like early start, like raise your eyebrows and go home. I mean, I'll look at you and go, oh man, same thing that happened with it. Nor last year it started checking them off when it won. Editing I look to you, when is this? Like, Jesus Christ, I get chills. Just bring it up. Bring it up. Best editing 2024. Nora I looked, you went. Nick is it happening? Like is it is this is it going? And they did. Director first second to last was actress and I. And then that sent us over. And I'm like it has to be picture. And it was I know so yeah. And and then the year before as I said on the pod and in our live stream, look for a mini wave from poor things. And then that started to happen. Like it chipped away as I think Frankenstein might this year and maybe take for those more technical categories which poor things that took three and actress but cool. So we're we are fully aligned except best animated short which is really which is called anyway. So score I am conceding and I think I'm going to go with what you've been saying from the beginning, but here are the nominees. Begonia by Justine Nurse six. Fender. Yes, Frankenstein by Alexandre Desplat, who won for The Shape of Water. Another Guillermo del Toro film, Hamnet by Max Richter, including music including previously used Max Richter music. Cut me a break that should not be nominated. That if Jonny Greenwood was not allowed to be nominated for there Will Be Blood for using previous score, there is no way Hamnet should be allowed to be nominated. The whole end of that movie is from. It's definitely by Max Richter, but he made it ages ago. It's been used in so many other things. It's so infuriating. One battle after another. Jonny Greenwood God, I would love Jonny Greenwood to get an Oscar and Sinners by Ludwig Goransson I think this has to be sinners, that the score did not do much for me. And I thought Luke Wood's two very recent awards would, you know, kind of put up the the guard for him. They go now, we, you know, we just gave it to him for Black Panther. Just gave it to him for Oppenheimer. I think they're going to give it to him anyway. Centers. Yeah, I agree. Yeah. Do you remember the score? I don't remember anything from the score at all. No, I remember I remember all of the things outside of the score. Like I remember like the, the dance. I remember like the song. I remember all of, like the actual like what's the word didactic. Didactic. It's like kind of talking down to you like a kid, like, no, no, no, it's diegetic. Diegetic? Degenek. Yes, yes. There you go. Good. Yes. Good. Yes. Titanic. So, yeah. All the diaries, actually. No, it's not, kind of. Well, no. That's mean. It's all the, all the. You remember all the music that was like, there that the band was playing in the fall during the party? Yeah, I remember that stuff too. I don't have much. Then maybe there was, like, some fusion between his score in that band. I do not, I don't know, I'm not. It's not a movie. I'm going to go back and re explore to investigate. Sorry folks. Fun fact though, and it's something that is interesting where I never thought about this. So I always try to get my mom and my stepdad to watch, you know, what I view is some of the best movies of the year. They're very particular. My mom is much more open to a lot of these. My stepdad is not. He is set in his British ways. So I was like, you have to see one battle after another. And my mom says she couldn't even really enjoy it because of him. My stepdad because he said, who throughout this whole fucking movie is banging these fucking drums. Ding ding ding. Yeah. He said that he the movie was completely unwatchable. Because it and I thought about it and I was like, you know, if that does bother you, it is an unwatchable movie because it's nonstop like that. Music throughout the whole entire fucking movie is is. Yeah, just like the movie. The movie's going, going, going. Yeah, yeah. When Teyana Taylor shoots the security guard, which kicks everything off, like when they're taking that bank in the beginning, you just hear, like, oh, there's like a positive. You're like, gosh, you're like, yeah, it's this. I don't even know these like noises. He makes me, God, I love them. It's a fun movie to put on and like have in the house. And you just hear the music as you're walking around doing chores, which I'm sure Ali loves that she. Oh and point, in fact, asshole. She's the what? They called it out to me. That's what I was just going to say. She's like, oh, I love to hear this music just bouncing around, you know, it's in the grocery store looking through the glass. It did. He did indeed. He did it. I love it, but it will not work. That's hilarious. In the grocery shopping to the score of one. Bad. No, I'm saying when he's in the grocery store, he gets the glasses off the rack and it's okay. I mean, I haven't done that yet. No. No shopping. I've shopped. There will be Blood Phantom Thread, maybe even Inherent Vice podcast I love Greenwood, Punch-Drunk. Yeah, I was just trying to do the Greenwood score scores. The Punch-Drunk. I know, it's amazing. Okay, so sinner's original score? Probably. Yes. Best Makeup and Hairstyling nominees. Frankenstein. Coco I don't know, sinners, The Smashing Machine, The Ugly Stepsister. Does your prediction mirror best production design? It sure does. It sure does for me, too. God damn it. We're going to be very. It's going to be. It's going to be close. We usually we tend to agree sometimes in the technicals and then we split off in the big one. Yeah. So we'll just see I don't know I see we'll see I to think hairs makeup and hairstyling we'll go to Frankenstein. And you know not a bad win I think of the nominees. That's very fair. The makeup was indeed very very good. So yeah, I mean, all of it. The makeup, the hair, I mean, it, yeah. I mean, it's it it would deserve the award. It would be best international feature film. This is a, I believe, a two way split. Maybe, maybe even three nominees. The secret agent from Brazil. It was just an accident from France. Sentimental value from Norway? Yes. Sort of, for it was just an accident. Sentimental value for Norway. Serrat from Spain. The voice of Hin Rajab from Tunisia, which I haven't seen. I've heard it's intense. I will try to see that in the next week. So it was just an accident. Won the Palme d'Or. I don't think that's going to carry over here. This is where, you know, it's secret agent versus sentimental value. Will sentimental value be a player? Will it win this? Will it have a chance at winning? Supporting actor? Something else? I don't know. It was completely ignored from the Sags. It was, you know, embraced by the BAFTAs. I get all that. So which way is it going to go? This went to a Brazilian film last year. I'm not. I'm still there. Yeah, I'm still there. Brazilian Brazil has a die hard film culture. They really rep their movies hard. Secret agents, also nominated for best actor and Best picture. As a sentimental value, I don't know. What do you have with this? I have the secret agent winning this cool silver split. I have sentimental value. And those right now. To me, it's like 5050. It is a 5050 split. Keep in mind, the most nominated film last year, Amelia Perez was nominated for international feature. Didn't win. Still didn't win. Well, yeah, but I know. But I know all the I. Well yeah you can but I'm saying it was you can nominated film it won but there's. Yeah. Oh yeah sure. Yeah yeah but not that one. Not not the one where you're actually that's what I'm saying. Movie. Yeah. Just for smaller things. Yeah. Either or this could go to I think. Yeah. Or sentimental value. And honestly it's it really is a toss up. I have no idea. I'm. The reason I'm going with the secret agent is because this has been pretty much sweeping up all the awards in this category all the way around. Yes. But I don't know if. I mean, I have they really ever been pitted up against each other like this? What? Best like, yeah, these two movies. Awesome. Justice category. Yeah. Like all those previous award shows this season we've talked about I take some stock into those, but not typically for something like foreign films. Yeah, that's going to go any number of ways. Like it's new for it. To me it's kind of like a fresh ballot for the Oscars. So I don't think people who vote on this are going, well, what did the BAFTAs give it? What did whatever the Critics Choice give it. So it's it's very tough. My, my, my my pick might switch by Oscars, but as of right now I'm going with the secret agent. Yeah that's and I will allow it to switch as some of mine might as well. Against my better judgment, we're going to see. All right. So cool. We have a little split there. Best film editing. This could be a big one. Or it could be a nothing burger. Nominees F1 Marty Supreme one battle after another, sentimental value. Sinners. Okay. Oh my heart of hearts are telling me that this is actually between F1 and one battle. That's what I want to believe. I don't think sinners will win this now, sometimes they go with the show. With your movie. Like, what do you think is a better edited movie? No Country for Old Men or There Will Be Blood or Michael Clayton. Are you asking me or you? I'm asking you. Yeah. What do you think? What do you think? Jesus Christ, of those movies? Yeah, it's a hard decision. Which is why the Oscars with The Bourne Ultimatum to win Best Editing over those. So you could see something like that here. You could see F1 winning this, and maybe it not going to one battle. Typically in the past, best editing was a pretty good precursor to what will win picture. Those were aligned lot. It was last year. It was the year before. That does happen. This is F1 or one battle to me. I guess I'm I guess I'm feeling I right now. I'm feeling one battle. I just don't think F1, it's like, fuck, I don't know, I don't know. This is tough. I got to give you decision. I'll go with F1. I think maybe they give F1 sound in editing. I am agreeing there's but you don't. But you wouldn't give it that award right. Like no F1. No no no I mean here's the thing. I mean you're talking about like this is a crazy conversation because in the case of The Bourne Ultimatum and what you just reference in trying to pick between those three movies in terms of storytelling, in terms of what the art of film editing actually is trying to split between the editing of those three movies, it's an impossible task. Now, here's the thing one battle after another, when you talk about the, remarkable nature of the film editing of that, that's because of that conversation. Exactly that we're talking about the art of filmmaking, the art of film editing, F1, any movie like The Bourne Ultimatum, like F1, like these movies, when you do puts that together for editing, you're editing for a different reason. It's a different it's a different genius. And guess what I want to say? Because I do believe, like it's very hard to do that to when you're talking about fast paced action on motion, you're trying to get the audience through so much footage of trying to get their hearts beating to a certain level. Of course you've got sound, you've got all the performance and all that, but you're still editing it all together. So I think you're a, 100% right in your assessment of this. Coming down to those two things, you're talking about, editing being awarded for the art of filmmaking for one battle, and then the impossible task of trying to edit something like F1. Yeah, I'm going with F1. I think it could go either way. And I think if one battle wins this, I do think that that changes. What I think is I think if this wins, if one battle wins Best Film Editing, I think one battle takes best picture. Agreed, agreed. And that'll be they saved editing. Last year it was pretty late because of, you know, Baker was nominated for that. Like they they held on to it, so I do I didn't listen names but F1 is edited by the great Steven Marion Maroney. I think it's how you say he won an Oscar for editing traffic, one of my favorite films like the Guy knows. Oh so he. Oh yeah. Yeah, yeah, he could he could be a player here. But yeah, if you see one battle, take this look out for one battle to take picture as well. Yes. Yeah, that could happen again. I don't want to jinx it, but I just I think this is one that really isn't in the running for. I think this is I don't think first one battle. Yeah. Yes. Oh, man. Now, the most difficult category for me this year not to predict, but just to watch. Best documentary short. Who we nominees. All the empty rooms armed only with a camera. The life and death of Brant. No child, no more. We and our gone. The devil is busy. Perfectly a strangeness. Okay. All the empty, all the empty rooms. Armed only with a camera. And the devil is busy or tough. These are tough movies. The first two more so. Armed only with a camera. Some one of the most like. It was just devastating. You know about a war videographer. Like you see horrible shit. You see dead bodies quickly it man, it is rough. It is so rough. All the empty rooms is about a, you know, a photographer going into rooms of children who have died in school shootings and, you know, you don't see any graphic content. It's just, the pain is there. All the, you know, the touch, the rooms, even clean them. They haven't done the laundry in their child died years ago. Devastating. Devil's busy is about a woman working at a, like, an abortion clinic, and I forget what city. Very good. I actually wrote down a quote. It was really interesting from that documentary. The Devil is Busy. I never thought I would have more rights 25 years ago than my daughter does now. That resonated with me in terms of women's rights. Oh yeah, I have, children no more. I haven't been able to find anywhere. And then perfectly, a strangeness is kind of like a cute, strange one. I think they're going to go heavy with all the empty rooms, but not all the way heavy, like armed with a camera. So I think all the empty rooms. When's this? That's a good, that's a good pick. I, I, maybe this will change to. I am going with armed only with a camera. Did you watch? No, I haven't seen that. Yeah, I've seen all the empty rooms. I I'm planning on watching all of these, and I know that one is on HBO. So that is getting, you know, like, it's got its fair share of marketing as well. I think I'm going I like your reasoning for it. Like they're going to go heavy, but not that heavy. I'm going all the way heavy as of right now. I mean, they could he was a filmmaker. It's very well made. It's just, you know, it's it's just tough to watch, that's all. I felt. It got you. You feel it all when you're watching it. It's a tough sit. If anyone you know watches it. I mean, the only thing I can kind of hope is like, you know, you know, especially, you know, you can kind of always count on these categories at least to bring forth, you know, unfortunately, the absolute shit of the world. And to give it some kind of attention because I do think like things like this, I do think they are kind of important to see because you have to get some kind of perspective of like, what's really going on here and all the empty rooms does that too though. Yeah it does. Good. Well I'm glad you watch that one. Yeah I'll, I'll try to find children no more. But it's, you know I can't find it if it's not available anywhere. Best documentary. No more. Yes. They're they're gone. We're in our gone documentary feature the Alabama Solution. Who's tough. Tough I want to see that. It's tough HBO come see me in the good light. Cutting through rocks. Mr.. Nobody against Putin, the perfect neighbor. I have not seen the middle three because I think come, come see me in the light I think is on Apple the other cutting through rocks and nobody against Putin I haven't seen or Mr.. Nobody against Putin. I don't know where they are. The perfect neighbor is on Netflix. That's what I've talked about it kind of in passing. As you know, the years gone on tough. It made me infuriated at, I don't mean I don't want to go off, but, you know, it was a tough set. I think that wins. It's a sad movie, but I think it wins. I agree, however, I, I, I, I haven't seen the Alabama solution, but I guess it's a part of me. Yeah. I think that would be like your armed only with a camera pick like it is. It is? Yeah. Tough. I mean, you know, you know, prison is bad, but I didn't know it was like this. And I'm not talking like stuff that you see that you've seen in like, Oz or American History X, I'm saying like, they're catching, like, dozens of rats in their cell and they're like, sleeping with them. That's just like, there's no choice. Like the rats are just everywhere, and they're like, catching them and putting them in water bottles to try to like that to. I mean, it's that's a an extremely tame example. You're going to you watch that, you're going to see. You're going to see what, destruction is done to a human face that, I don't really like watching. It's it does not pull any punches. That talk doesn't mess around. It might be a little too hard for people. Not saying the perfect neighbor is easy, but in this, a weird sentence, that weird sentence to say it is a little easier to consume than the Alabama solution. And it's on Netflix. And it's. And that's the reason why I'm kind of picking her to win good docs, but challenging. Okay. As they should be. I think you think they should. Challenges. It's important. Best costume design. This could go a few ways here. The nominees avatar, fire and Ash. He's been on a big, campaign like, awareness campaign of saying of showing like, no, we did make the costumes. Like, they're not all visual effects. Like those were actual real costumes. So we have avatar, fire, ash, Frankenstein, hamlet, Mardi, Supreme Sinners. I do not think Ruthie Carter is going to win her third Oscar in a few years for sinners, though. Why not? I mean, she might I I'm kind of thinking, this is Frankenstein. It's. You're goddamn right it is. Yeah. YouTube. So, yeah, we're we're doing the same thing here. I am not sensing a sinner's wave for these technical ones. I think Frankenstein is a little more. I mean, you know, it's all the stuff we're awarding. Like, it deserves to win those. I wasn't the biggest fan of the movie, but I think it deserves to win those. Of all the nominees. I like the costumes and avatar, but that does not bring to mind like, oh, costumes. Avatar brings to mind visual effects. Yeah, exactly. Yeah, I think Frankenstein, I think I just think it takes it. Yeah. Oh big one cinematography. Oh, this one's hard. This is very hard. This one's very hard. Frankenstein. Martin's supreme fuck. One battle after another. Sinner's train dreams. Train dreams is your kind of token. Old school. Looking good. The movie looks like a postcard. Let's put it up here. There's usually a black and white nominee. If there is a black and white nominee, it goes to that movie and it's kind of the arty movie. As much as I would like it to win, I don't think it's happening. Unfortunately. I think this is going to go to centers, and the cinematography was one of my least favorite aspects of the movie. But I, I do feel that happening, and it was shot by a woman and a woman's never won Best Cinematography. And that's nice, I like that. That would be a nice narrative, a woman needs that. Like, why hasn't? That is just stupid to me. That is so stupid. I'm like, what? What is going on here? And you know, it's a it's a nice narrative for sinners. It's I could see that happening. I unfortunately think that happens here. You're right, you're right. Is that what you're going to go with? Are you going to go with train Dreams? Mark me right now for train dreams, but everything you just said is going to come Oscar Sunday, 1,000%. I'm going to end up changing my pick, but I don't want to change it right now because I want to still have my train dreams win this award. So give me a little bit. But the thing is, is like the train. Elderfield Veloso, who shot Train Dreams, has won all these awards leading up to this, to this, to this category. It's been nominated against centers, right. And in almost all of them. So this is, I think definitely between those two, it's tough. It's a very, very tough pick because I think you've got the one here. And it's always kind of struck me that cinematography does tend to still, cinematography is like that one award where I think it's right on the outskirts of it being politically, interfered with. Yeah. It's like, yeah, think it's like, you know, costume design, hair and makeup, you know, production design. These technical awards. This is the one right on the outskirts where it still holds the artistic quality of the filmmaking to be the winner, I find. And if that holds true, then you have Adolfo take this. Because I don't think anyone argues that Train Dreams is like the best looking movie of the year. But for everything that you just said, there's really good reasons for centers to win this. I think this is a really this this kind of goes for like editing, for going to one battle and cinematography going this centers, these are like these awards where like this is where they start to split in their in their wins. Yeah. So do you have F1 go to editing and you had dreams go to cinematography right. So yeah for right now I'm going to go with Train Dreams. But I think you are right. I believe this is how this will go. Come, come time to it. Well the you know we talked about Screen Actors Guild and I'll touch on the DGA Directors Guild, PGA Producers Guild, the ASC American Society of Cinematographers. They do an award. The nominees are exactly the same as the Oscars and their award is tomorrow. So they're going to give their award tomorrow. That will give us some indications but an indication it it does it won't impact the, I don't say this. It won't impact the winner of the Oscar because those votes are in. But it may lead us, may give us some indication of how those people also voted on their Oscar ballot and that, you know, it's not always right, like Maria won last year by, you know. Yeah. From them. And that wasn't you know and it was nominated but that didn't have a chance of winning the Oscar. That's because they love that Lockman and Ed Lockman is great. You know I mean Elvis won in 2022. You know it's not it's not always it doesn't always go on to predict it but usually gets it can get pretty close. So we'll see that. Yes, I'm with you and your assessment of cinematography and editing that that could be an easy one battle split. Or we could see F1 and train dreams. One of those I would kind. That'd be cool. It'd be cool. It would be cool. Train dreams to witness. Oh my God, I would love it. I would love it. It's a beautiful, beautiful looking movie. Really is. Okay. You said for our first award, best visual effects. That is a lock of the night. I guess it could be. I mean, you know, put down avatar. So folks, if you're filling out your ballot, another lock of the night, you can just check it off right now. Best casting. I don't even say the need to say the nominees, but I will. Hamnett Maadi Supreme one battle after another, the secret agent, and for the introductory award of best casting in the night in the 90th Annual Academy Awards. It will go to centers. That is, who is going to win best casting. It'll be a walk off. They should just do it first. I mean and and and it's also it's going to be important for Francine Metzler, the casting director who's like, like one of the biggest casting directors of all time. That's I mean, if they would have done that award last year, Sean Baker would have been nominated because he goes to the door at night and say, a director been nominated for casting. But I don't have much to say there, including it, because I don't know, they're including it. We've been asked like, why are they including, you know, it has to do a lot with like lobbying. They've been trying to get Stanton for a while. And you also mentioned best sound like them conflating them. It used to be two. Now it's one. Not too long ago best score was in our lifetime. That was two. It was best score for drama. Best score for musical comedy. They used to split cinematography. So they do this like they have done this in the past, and then they'll bring in a category together. And I guess in bringing sound together that made room for a new award. I'm not sure how many people, you know. I don't know the impact of the best casting award yet. I don't know what it's going to mean, you know, long term, but I have no reason to believe this would be anything but centers. I don't know how it works. Do you bring the entire cast on the stage? That seems like a really big production. If it's in the middle of the show, they're not going to save it. Do they save it for right before like picture? That would be weird and give it way too much weight. They should just start with this honestly new award. You just come out and you start in the in the, in the world of professional wrestling. Yeah. When you have a big card, big matchup lineup, you always start out with one of the highest anticipated matches of the night. Kick it off. And and that's usually what they do with what as you said, a supporting actor or actress. But you know, I think start with casting and then don't like just bring the casting director on stage to accept I don't need like 50 people from centers on stage or what if one battle takes it? So, okay, so we agree with best casting, best animated feature. God, I've seen and studied all these four times Arco Leo, K-pop, Demon Hunters, Little Amelie, or the character of Rain and Zootopia two. I have only seen one of them K-pop Demon Hunters. I have no reason to believe that that also went up too many double negatives. I've only seen one keep up to even others, and I have every reason to believe that that will also be a walk off winner. Best Animated feature K-pop Demon Hunters I have seen none of these and I have no reason to believe that K-pop demon Hunter will not wait. This life. Still singing the music, still walking around the house singing the music. God did she love it? It would catch you guys. Did she love it? She loved it. She still. Everyone does it. All right. It's it's a catchy tune. It's their catchy tunes. Oh, I don't have them. I've never heard it. Oh my God, she's I've never heard. Yeah. They, I mean they go, they rock. They're good. Okay. How many left. Eight. We got the big ones and these are the big ones now it's a big one. We're going to start with start screen place here. So this is three awards we're doing in a row that I think are walk off winners casting animated feature and screenplay. Here are the nominees for original screenplay. Blue moon. It was just an accident. Mighty Supreme, sentimental value. And Ryan Coogler will become an Oscar winner for writing the original screenplay for sinners. It's a walk off. It's a walk out, folks. A walk off. The question is, will he be back on stage to accept director and or picture? That's up in the air, but let's move to adapted screenplay. We're Begonia Frankenstein, Hamnet. One battle after another, betraying dreams. Okay, okay. What are you going to do? Are you going to fuck with me? Is it time? Are we going to keep robbing PTA of his nominees and of his wins? Obviously, I think that should go to one battle after another. I do not know. A very recent, screenplay director and picture winner, Chloe Zhao could win this for Hamnet. Hamnet in the news is the last remaining big guild that has not happened yet, so we don't know who has won those. It doesn't always match up to the Oscar winners. This is Hamnet versus one battle after another. I'm saying Peta is going to win it. I agree, and I'm not as nervous about it as you. Thank God. I'm glad one of us has confidence you speak on it, please, because I don't have a confidence. You do for this. I really don't know. And I'm bringing your logic into why I think this is going to one battle after another is that I don't think outside and we're I mean, obviously I'm not ruining anything when I say this best actress is definitely going to Jessie Buckley for Hamnet. I think that is the only Oscar that this Hamnet movie walks away with. I could just see that, then parlay that to an adapted screenplay as well. But but then. But that. No, because you're always saying that when you're talking about these movies that if they're going to win certain awards, they have to win other ones ahead of time. So you have to put a bunch of awards on a movie in order for it to get to a certain other place in the listing. So by that logic alone, as of right now, if we go by our our picks, one battle hasn't won shit yet. This is the first one we haven't winning and so yeah. So I don't think, you know, based on Oscar logic. And I just think also in terms of like material. Yeah, I think, I think this is and plus one battle has been PTA has been winning this award along every other stretch. That's been nominated for is and again that that's a was there going to be a big one. Yes it is but but I, I don't see this going any other way than one battle. All right. Well then there you have it. We both have one battle. This a the screenplays will be before director in picture. So if Mika wins this, then Paul Thomas Anderson is an Oscar winner. Which probably should have happened in 97 with Boogie Nights somehow. But that's a good thing. And that is that's the only thing I want from this night. Truly, I'm not like one battle needs to take five bob. No, I just need Peter to be an Oscar winner. I would love it if he walks away. Being a three time Oscar winner for picture director and adapted screenplay, that's a bit, I wouldn't even do that for Sean Baker last year. And he ended up walking away with four single handedly. So I you know, that could happen. And I hope it does. But we'll start here with adapted screenplay going to PTA. Okay. Best supporting actress, which I think the screen actors, the actors remember how we call them threw a nice wrench into I think this is pretty open nominees Elle Fanning for Sentimental Value. Who? Inger Laub, center, lioness sentimental value Amy Madigan, weapons yeah. Wunmi Mosaku centers. Teyana Taylor, one battle. I think we have a three way race between Madigan, Mosaku and Taylor. That's what I think is happening here, and I they usually don't go for genre a lot. Weapons is totally genre. It's a totally horror genre movie. It's the only nominee, and it feels fun to give that to her to win. But that feels very Screen Actors Guild like you're not going to win the Oscar, Amy. But like, here you go, here's the SAG. But maybe she does. I mean, oh, she's one. Are people still few awards along the way. And Teyana Taylor won the Golden Globe and then moussaka won the BAFTA. So I'm like is that what do we give the proper weight here to? I will say we're in the big categories now, folks. I don't know. I could see it going to the three. I again like if this is first and moussaka, who wins? I hope I'm saying that right. Please forgive me if I'm not. If it's the first word a night and she wins, watch out. We could have some centers. It could be. It could be moving. We could start to see a centers wave. If Teyana Taylor wins, does that, you know? Am I do it? Then I get excited like, oh God, this makes screenplay director picture possible. Okay, okay. Good. I honestly don't know. And right now, talking to you, looking at you, I think. Madigan, seriously, you know, it's a it's but but then my my my head, my logic is telling me they do not go in for genre a lot and they really don't unless your genre is, like, wrapped in something that has a ton of nominee, a ton now, ton of nominations. But these are usually Lochte, Zoe Saldana won this in a walk off last year. This is not a lock. I think we have AA3 way split. I don't know, I just don't see Amy Madigan winning for this. I don't I'm well I mean, I'm also I'm staying I'm staying with Tiana. I'm staying with porphyria. I got to do it. That's who I think is going to win. That's what I'm putting. I agree, I really saying oh I didn't know that. Yeah okay. Yeah. And in you're right, you're right in your whole entire assessment because there's a lot to award here for everybody. And it also depends on how you go down the line here as well. I think the reason you give it to Amy Madigan is because there is a whole entire narrative of how much people love that movie and how much people particularly love that character. Amy Madigan, you know, she is an older lady. You know, you kind of like that. Yeah, she's she's been around, she's respected. She's a respected actress, married to Ed Harris forever. She's a great lady. Field of dreams. Exactly. So it's like you award. It's the lifetime award. And so there's a lot of great reasons to go there. And it very well, could it I I'm not I'm not saying my pick for Tiana is with a lot of confidence because of because of this. I don't think Wunmi is going to take it if the if the conversation is between Tiana and Amy Madigan. So that's why I'm going to go with Tiana for this one. And we go profiteer because this pussy just don't pop for you, okay? That's exactly what I texted to my dad. No, I don't know to. Because you're in love with me. I love that you could help me because you're in love with me. Yeah, I can give you the embrace of the federal government. Brings you right to. Was someone with sway. Apartment doesn't do any favors, especially for black girls. Got like. Okay, thanks. Thanks for laying that on there. As she's handcuffed to the gurney. Brings us right to it. Best supporting actor. Another one that's pretty open. Nominees Benicio del Toro one battle after another Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein. Delroy Lindo centers Sean Penn one battle after another Stellan Skarsgard sentimental value I hope my best judgment tells me, and I hope it's correct that this is Penn versus Skarsgard. I think Penn has a shot here. I mean that the thing is, it's Sean Penn. Like he just said he would go to the Sags. Like if you would have gone to the SAG, it's probably smart that he didn't, because if he won, you would have got up there and said some. I mean, is supporting actors first and Sean Penn wins with our political climate. That's going to be a speech that is going to be a fucking speech to remember. And he's going to get up there. Craven nicotine, he's going to fucking jacked up, run his hand through his hair and go, all right, look, so I don't know, Sean Penn is often regarded as an extremely serious guy, serious actor. I mean, one, he won one Oscar for a very serious performance. Mystic River. He's much lighter in milk, which he won his second Oscar for. This is a fucking cartoon. This guy's a caricature, and he's hilarious, I mean, I so but then you have Stellan Skarsgard, who had a lot of buzz early on, was completely ignored from SAG as that movie was another very well respected actor, and he's never won Sean Penn as two best Actor awards. I'm happy with either. I would love for Sean Penn to win. This is another one I honestly don't know. Does Lindo come out of nowhere and steal it too? We have centers, supporting actress and supporting actor winners. Does that see that very strong possibility? Very strong. And that's actually I don't think Sean Penn has much of a shot here. Really. Okay. Unfortunately as well, when we get into our picks I will tell you why. I think I'll just say right now, I think Sean Penn's performance, in one way or another, might be the best performance of the entire year across all acting out roseburn. But, yeah, I think the possibility of Delroy and Stellan being more of the conversation here. But I do see you going to Stellan. That's who I picked. I have it for the Lifetime Achievement Award, which I'll say about Delroy, too, but also, I think Stellan Skarsgard gives a performance in Sentimental Value. I don't know, it checks all those boxes, you know, like you, you, you that that is like an award winning performance. And you've got a guy that has given you a lifetime of of great performances. And he did have some steam earlier on that where, it has gone down a little bit. Sean Penn has actually kind of come up with a few awards for this, which I love. But I think, I think it goes to Stellan. So that's actually who I have right now. I do have Stellan right now, and I think this 1st May change. I need to need to test the week out, see how I'm feeling this week. But I'm not. I doubt I'll be switching to Linda. If I switch, it'll be to Penn. But this is going to be, a game day decision, I think, because I'm, you know, I don't know the weight of sentimental value. Again, this could be first. This could be before international feature, if indeed that's the feature gives it the sentimental value before supporting actor, then I think Stellan wins. But yeah yeah, yeah. Isn't it also kind of pretty and kind of nice if supporting actress is Teyana Taylor and supporting actor Sean Penn, like all of her scenes in the you know, they have a lot of scenes together in the movie. Like, I don't know, it just sounds nice. It sounds like a nice, weird, sweet of you, Wolf. You're filling out a ballot. I'm just saying, hey, why not? You go boom, boom? Oh, yeah. Those two, they did great working it together. But then, I'm. I'm just throwing it out there. I don't have the answers. No, no, you're right here. I, it's tough that I don't see. Yeah. It's tough. Supporting actor. They're all really tough game day. They're all very tough. The big ones are tough. Let's do actress first. Yeah. So this is actually the easiest one of the big nominees fortunately unfortunately. Read them off. Best actress Jessie Buckley Hamnett rose Byrne. If I had legs I'd kick you Kate Hudson song sung blue Anita Ryan's the Sentimental Value Emma Stone, Begonia I don't know if it's going to be a walk off, but Jessie Buckley is going to win. I love for those performances and I love Jessie Buckley as a person, as a performer. And movie was not for us, but I think Buckley takes this. We're not being given it. We're not being given any indication that it would be anything other but her. No, absolutely. And I'm also not taking anything away because, I mean, it's Jessie Buckley. She you know, while that's not my movie, I've never once said any bad thing about that movie when it comes to acting. I don't think that's the problem of that movie at all. And Jessie Buckley, all correct reasons to have this streak that she has. She wears her fucking heart everywhere. She spills her soul in that movie. And I think that's why it's being awarded in the way that it has. So there's no way she's not winning it. There's just no way she's not. And also, believe me when I tell you, and the reason that I brought up the bride at the top of this is because she is indeed the bride. She's the star of that. So right now she's doing a thing where she's marketing herself for an Oscar, but then also marketing, you know, a new found movie of 2026. So she's out there. They do this. Sometimes actors do this. It's very skillful. Yeah. Marketing and release and set up and that helps her that she's just out there. She's everywhere right now and that helps her in. She's cool like she's a she seems like a great hang. Yes person. No controversy. And the thing is too is like this is actually a super stacked category. And that's what I mean. It really is the performances, like we said. And we'll say it again, I don't think there was a better acting performance this year than Rose Byrne and I if I had like Side Kick You, I think the fact that she's nominated and she has won some awards along the way is, is is it's great. I don't think she has a chance against this train of of of of Jessie Buckley. And then I was talking to my friend and we were talking about how, because the controversy is like, do you do you have Kate Hudson as opposed to maybe some other people that could have been in this category? Well, that was Chase infinity Spa, Chase infinity. Yeah. And everything. And and I was supporting the Kate Hudson actual like nomination here. And she goes, I go, it's the best performance she's ever given. And he goes, well I agree. I love Kate Hudson. That I would have oh she's amazing. And had Chase infinity nominated so that it could have been nominated for every acting category, which is very rare. But yes, I'm just saying every performance in this category is really, really excellent. And it's very and but but it's going to Jessie. It's absolutely going to Jessie is a K-pop luck. K-pop luck. Best actor. Pretty. Okay. Oh, Jesus fucking Christ. I just do it. Fucking. I have a pick. Here are the nominees I'm going to read crazy. Timothy. Shalom, Marty Supreme Leonardo DiCaprio. One battle after another Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon, Michael B Jordan, sinners. Wagner. More of the secret agent. All right, let me go first. The more a nominee is very nice. It's it's just a, you know, a carry on from other stuff. He's not he's not in it. It's nice that the Leo nominee is very nice. And he bafflingly is just not really in it. He hasn't been campaigning. He's filming the Scorsese movie with Jennifer Lawrence. That's which is why he wasn't at the Sags. He will be at this show. You show up for the big show. They know that Ethan Hawke I really, really, really thought he would be a player. I thought this would be kind of like a still Alice Julianne Moore thing, a Judy Renee Zellweger thing, where it's just it's like one movie and like, oh, we didn't give that person an Oscar yet, or like, okay, yeah, let's just do it. And I kind of thought he would go on through. I have not believed the Timothee Chalamet campaign at in any part, not because I don't like him. I just don't think well I really don't like yeah. But that's I'm saying it's not just that that is not a best actor performance. I've gone on this rant before, but they do not give that award to assholes. Trust me. Like it with no redeeming quality and like a little bit of unconvincing tears in the end doesn't, redeem you at all. So we have who I had said in our Oscar nominations pod, who I think could be a serious player, which is Michael B Jordan in a twin performance. So it's a dual role. He won the SAG. People are telling me it's Timmy versus Michael B Jordan, I still don't. I have never felt Timmy in the race for this. I so I'm not nervous about that. I want to say it's Jordan versus Hawke because I want Hawke to have like some I think this is Michael B Jordan, I just do I saw it on nomination day would be Timmy versus Hawke. All the steam seems to be going. Michael B Jordan's way. And if his main competition is Timothy Shalom, well, I'm giving Timmy an award this year, the coveted by jackass of the year award. Yet again, he's in the press when you look at that award winners. Okay, I gave it to him last year for saying that I want to be one of the greats. I said this past year in 2023, I believe the jackass, the Jackass Award of the jackass of the Year award in 2023, I think, was for the collective audience of Oppenheimer, for never shutting up for almost, you know, for months about 10s, the nudity in that movie. And now no one talks about that again because it's not a big deal. 2022 we all know who that was. Austin Butler. Mr.. The King himself. Baby, I can't stop like this. Yeah. And then he catches a little slack and that goes away. So yeah there's no jackass in 2021. That's a little hard. That became clear on Oscar night. Didn't it. So lap you know. So yeah they're all right jackass. The 2020 is probably my boy, my main man, Steven Soderbergh, who directed those Oscars and decided to put best Best actor last because he knew Chadwick Boseman was going to win. And Joaquin got up there and awkwardly said, Anthony Hopkins, the father. So no, you got it. You got to get you. You got to give that year to, the director of Power a dog, because she screwed that up. That was 20, 21. Yeah. So you're right. That was she did she got on the Critics Choice and just basically bashed like all men. Yeah. Looked out at Venus and Serena Williams. Yeah I like what I do, what you do that word. But you don't have to compete against men. And people are like, what the fuck is going, oh, did that power the dog went from what, ten, 11 nominees that it was going to sweep the night to prove what it's just sector. I was just wait surrendered loses picture to Cota. You're right. My mistake. Jackass of the Year Award 2021 was yes, Jane Campion. So yeah. Tell me get to this year. You ever talk to someone about Shalamar who only knows about his acting? Oh, he's so sensitive. He's so good. He gives such good performances. He's so convincing. And then if they go, wow, I don't know any of these appearances you're talking about. He says things in the press that are bad. Then come the text, well, boom, boom, boom, jackass, jackass, jackass. This dumb idiot just bashed opera and ballet to Matthew McConaughey for no fucking reason. And now major opera companies are trolling him online with their opera singers playing ping pong on stage like the man is a clown. He's a buffoon. He is an egotistical nightmare. He does not possess one tenth of the acting capability of, say, Shia LaBeouf, and Shia LaBeouf is out of his fucking mind. The buzz is insane. He has mental health issues. He is nuts. Oh, Shire. Oh Shire any gosh, I yes. I do not like the performer. Timothy Shalom. I thought the performance was okay. Like not really. I mean, I'm not I'm not a fan of centers. I like Michael B Jordan more than Timothy Shalom. What happened to Wallace? Yeah, Michael B Jordan. I mean, I've known him since season one of The Wire. I love him, so I just think he takes it here. My rant about Timothy, which is how you're supposed to announce it. It's his name. It's pronounced Timothy. Tim. No one does that. If you think I'm lying, I'm not. Hence the spelling and the accent over the second to last E it's Timothy or Timothy. Shalom and G like, oh, he was all like rap dude when the movie was out. And now he's back to like, not dressing like that. Not. That's funny. That's funny. Good marketing, you clown. Well, I fucking I don't want you any single second of what you just said. I'm not amazing. Sorry, people. I'm sorry. I I've never liked him. I don't like him. I've keeping it here. You have not been on this pod to be to try to be positive. The man thinks he's Daniel Day Lewis. And as I've said before, Daniel Day-Lewis acted like this. I would not like him. I'd always be able to respect Daniel Plainview and Reynolds Woodcock. But I would not like the man. And I'd be like, dude, if you're this good, like, you don't need to brag about it. Timmy doesn't. It's not. It's just not there. And he thinks he's like the once in a once in a generational defining star. You're not, you're not. I don't know if anyone on this list is, frankly. I mean, Leo. Yes. I would love for Leo to lead. I would love if we were talking about Leo and Hawke like an actual contention. But we're not Michael Jordan. I want to move on or. Well, I'm glad you didn't let me talk. I know I did. I'm sorry. I didn't mean for that to happen. I won't edit it, I won't, I won't know. That's a it's a very it's a very you know, I mean here's the thing. I can't disagree on the level of, buffoonery that, that, that I have witnessed with my own eyes and my own ear balls. To hear from from Timmy or, however, there's some people. I don't understand it. There's no real logic for this Tobey Maguire. You hate him. You know, I do this, I do, I do, I do the same thing for me, you know? And I'm not. Okay. I'm not taking this away from you. I'm not trying to get shot. I'm just saying. I'm saying that I am giving some some. Listen, at the end of the day, okay? Here's the deal. I will always be forever grateful for Bob Dylan and that movie last year. A complete unknown is something that I hold near and dear to my heart, so I will never be able. But I have never also, been on the hate train, for Timmy. All that being said, I do think the battle is between Timmy and Michael B Jordan in terms of just this award. I think Timmy has just made a, unbelievable. Like, it's, I mean, literally, it's it's incredible in the actual definition of the word self-proclaimed train of trying to win this Oscar. I've never seen anyone try to win one harder. He has Imax screenings of his own fucking movies playing in the theater at LA. What is this? What? And that's hilarious. It's fucking hilarious. It is. But, like, what are we? You see Ethan Hawke, like, playing Reality Bites in 35 millimeter? No. Like, what are we talking about? I don't know, he said no, I know, I I'm not taking that away there. I don't know. There's some people out there that just like I expect them to act in the way that they do. And then when they do, I'm not hating on it because I'm like, yeah, that tracks he does track for his behavior. That is true. I don't have anything bad to say about Shalini, however, nothing. No, I don't disagree with you either, but I don't have anything bad to say. I just that's it. But I don't think he's winning this. So nice. So are you thinking, Jordan? Hesitantly. I am, I am. I had Michael B Jordan listed on here. Now let me just say I would love it with all of my heart if Ethan Hawke got that Still Alice award that you're talking about. Could happen. It it could. I don't think it will. I don't either. I just say this because Ethan Hawke is my artistic and North Star has been in not just acting, but in all of art. Every time that man speaks about art, I feel a soul connection. So for him to be nominated, I love. But then for him to also be nominated for truly a great performance. Like anybody who's seen Blue Moon, maybe very well may be certainly one of the most demanding onscreen performances that you'll see here. Dude, that movie knocked my dad out. He's been on the Timmy train. He loves Timmy. That's. Sorry, dad, if you're listening. He thought Marty Stream was like, okay, but loves Timmy. He saw he watched Blue Moon. I went, It's on Netflix. Why do you watch it? He just. My stepmom watch it. Wow. They loved it, man. I mean, it's it's for like, people, that generation. But he was so good. He's so. Oh my God. He he is truly amazing. And listening to I've listened to a lot of interviews were him talking about like that process and because essentially it's a one man show. That's essentially what that real time man, real time. He's never not on screen. Love it. If he won, I think I think you've got too heavy of a narrative going on here in the sinners category, where too many of these wins matter for the movie. And this is why I'm giving it to the movie, because, like, I think our wins make a lot of sense because we do have we don't really have a lot of sinners or one battle after another. So we're going to put the ticket. Yeah, I think they're going to keep doing this for the rest of the way. And I think you have that actor awards that happened at the SAG Awards. I think that's a huge, huge momentum swing in this way. So I think Michael B Jordan is taking this award. This is a weird thing to say. Forgive me to edit this out. What happened at the BAFTAs, having to him and Delroy Lindo and those two men handled that with fucking grace. That yes, it is unfair for people of color to, have that assumption put on them that they have to deal with this stuff, but they have to deal with that period. And then when it happens, can't react angry, can't yell, can't scream. We know that looks. So they they react with grace and something like that. This is a really difficult thing for me to talk about. I'm not like a race expert, folks. You guys know that. But it was a horrible thing that happened. And then to do that and like take it on the fucking chin and keep presenting and finish the thing. I don't know too many people who could have done that. That's all I'm saying. Like it's a really it's a horrible, horrible thing to have that yelled at you on national TV. And they, you know, it just sucks that it happened in something like that. When you see that you're like, yeah, he is a good dude and he has been around since he's a kid. Like we've if you watch The Wire or Friday Night Lights, like we've been watching him and Fruitvale Station is my favorite performance from him and my favorite Ryan Coogler movie. I think he is sensational in that movie that I can't really talk about that movie without getting emotional. And I think all that goodwill helps him. This is not a campaign where he's hosting screenings of his movies. And, you know, I'll calm down the rhetoric, but he's it is the opposite of the Timmy campaign. It's like, I'm cool. It is. I'm here. I'm trying to be humble, trying to ride the wave a little bit because sinners is on a wave. But I'm not like doing anything crazy and I dislike him. I'm not a fan of sinners. I oh yeah, I try, I tried, but I've always loved Michael B Jordan. I love that guy. Yeah, I yeah, I have nothing bad to say. I mean, well, that's a funny thing to even talk about. Like how we're kind of comparing like, yeah, you've got, you've got these personalities that are in like this mix right here. And one is very much making themselves known and and, and then one is. Yeah, exactly. Right. And, it's hilarious in a lot of ways. And your rant, it proves like the hilarity of it all. I log off, I'm not like an online person. Like I do stuff for the pod, but I do not troll Reddit. I am never on X. I am almost never on Instagram just to post stuff for this. But so this. If I'm finding this stuff always, I'm like, I don't want to see this shit. It probably knows I want to see it. It probably knows it riles me up, kicks that negative serotonin in. But it's also that out there though. That's the thing. Like that was my point. Yes. Thank you. That like he is making he's making it very easy. Fine. Timmy is but yeah. All right. This again for a major category. This is not locked up. This is not locked up. So actor is going to be a tough one to call it up until they announce it. Yeah. As our our last two at least for me got two left to big ones. Best director nominees Hamnett Chloe Zhao, Mati supreme Josh Safdie one battle after another Paul Thomas Anderson, sentimental value. Yo King, treasure and sinners Ryan Coogler, PTA. I'm, Yep, yep PTA. Let's do it. Yeah, let's fucking do it. Yeah, let's not mess around. Don't mess with me. Give him screenplay. Hooray! Give him director. I'm. Even if he only wins. Director. I'm very satisfied. PTA has a best director Oscar. This in part of the Warner Brothers. Owning centers in one battle. Feels like part of the negotiation for me that I think PTA should. They're, you know, putting him up to get director. I don't see a lot of campaigning for Ryan Coogler. Director. Maybe it's going on, but I'm not seeing a lot of that, and I don't think. I just don't think anyone else really has the heat to take it for PTA. Please, Lord, let me be correct on this one category. I mean I and it by every step of the way. It makes sense. I mean, you're awarding him for a body of work that I mean, Paul Thomas Anderson, you know, when you look at American directors, he's oh, I can't say the ego, but he's goaded. He is that level. He is that he he is to American film to contemporary American film directing as to any director that you can think of. And for him to be nominated and not not win yet, I think it it has to go to him. So yeah, he's going to be tough. Yeah. Yeah. It is going to be tough. That is the the award. I'm most nervous about that. Believe me, there is nothing I want more than to watch Mr. Marty Dipshit lose. But the one thing I'm most nervous for is best director, so I can't, you know, that's going to be like, usually it's second to last. But lately they've been doing actor and actress directly before picture, so director could be fourth to last, second to last I don't know, it'll be toward the end of the night and I will be nervous. Oh yeah. Here we go, here we go. Best picture here. The nominees, all ten of them. Begonia, F1, Frankenstein, hamlet, Mati Supreme. One battle after another. The station agent. Sentimental value. Sinners train dreams. Oh, I said the station agent, the secret age. You did, you did. I thought you said as a joke. No. My bad. You want me to go first here? Yeah. All right, everyone I've been saying for, I don't know, since September when one battle after another came over, came out that it is a lock. It is a lock. My famous, my famous, my infamous. What do you watching? Nick dose. So catch phrase. I've got a few of them, but it's a lock. Is, is one of them. And I have said that one battle after another will win Best picture and best director for Paul Thomas Anderson. It's a lock. I am going back on that I. Whoa! Oh, I already wrote it in. Oh. Good setup. Oh, man. You're doing exactly what I'm doing. God damn it. I think I talked to you into this. Yep I talked no you haven't, I have, you have not. No. No you haven't I, I because I, I mean emphatic on the nominations episode, I said there's no reason for Ryan Coogler centers to not win Best Picture. And unfortunately, despite PTA rather despite the film winning the Producers Guild, the PGA, which is the biggest signifier to what will win the Best Picture Oscar despite PTA winning the DGA, the Directors Guild the biggest signifier to who who will win Best Director? I think this is Senna's year. It just feels like the narrative of centers year, and I think it's going to win. I think it is too, and I it's, it has been, it's been the whole year. It's been the whole year. And I even think in the way of the way that this pick best picture is voted, the thing that goes into it a lot too. Yeah. I mean, I don't think, I think it's always going to be between centers in one battle after another, but I think centers wins this out and gives the reason for. So if we have it going our way, the way that we do, we do have one battle and and centers splitting a big part of like a lot of these awards, I think that's how it will go, maybe not in the order with ways that we have them, but I think it will shake out to where this will split all this and that. But I think centers will come out with Best Picture and to give it a reason to be nominated for is the most Academy Award nominated movie is 16 nominations. And then not to get it best Best picture. I don't know, don't know how that that that that sentence goes without doing that. So I've thought of a lot. So yes, I've heard all of your text messages and all your bullshit, and I have come to this conclusion on my own. All right. So we both have one battle winning three. We both have it winning. Adapted screenplay, supporting actress and director. And then I have centers winning six, including picture. You have it winning five because you are choosing currently train Dreams for cinematography and I'm choosing center since that's that's that might change right now. As of this recording we only have four different. We only have best short animated, which is hard to call. Yeah best documentary short, hard to call, best International feature, which is going to be a split on Best Cinematography, which is going to be a split. That's it. So if our picks stay in line and I think mine will, I might change Supporting Actor. I might, I might change that to pen, I don't know. But for the most part, yeah I think this looks pretty solid. We're so in your research, if I can fill in the gap for folks here, I can connect the dots. You hear? I said he's been researching these more. Now look. Look who's picks. He's aligned with me. Look at he's he's coming to the light. And now he's finally made himself a respected challenger. Yes. I respect these picks. We really do like the biggest one. I mean, send him sentimental value or the secret. So international. It's so hard. Cinematography still hard. But yeah, I mean I even looking at this. So like we walk away with, you know, they always show like the winners backstage like with their trophies. So it's like Teyana Taylor, Stellan Skarsgard, Jessie Buckley and Michael B Jordan. Like I can I can see that back there. You know I don't know I could again supporting actress. Isn't it kind of an even split. Supporting actor isn't even split. None of these are locks. Actress is actress is a lock. Actor is not a lock. Director. I hope I can say it's a lock. I don't know, but sinners from the moment. Nomination day, when the second the nominees were done and I calculated at 16, I went. All right, that's that's an announcement. And I think I think this is what Warner Brothers is doing behind the scenes. I think they are promoting each of them to win a screenplay. They're promoting, to win director and centers as a whole to win picture. And if I had to guess, I don't know. But if PETA's opinion was ever asked about that, I think he probably would nod and be like, yeah, that's fine, that's cool. We don't have to put up one battle for picture like, that's fine. That's just what I'm sensing. Instilled this ballot the way we have, where we both have it walks away with PTA, a double winner for adapted screenplay director. I'm happy if it goes down the way that I set on this ballot, even though I don't. Wouldn't be my choice for everyone to win all these people, I'm still happy. I don't need one battle to walk away with a bunch. I don't. I mean, we only have it winning three one misstep in any if our picks are the way that they are, and we think the night will go down this way, one misstep could change everything. The misstep is Frankenstein. Do they go in for Frankenstein? We don't have it winning too much, but we have it winning. Big ones against sinners. That's the thing. We have winning three against center. So if it takes those, then okay, like hang in. But if those, if any one of those if visual effects, sound production design, editing, costume, if any of those makeup go to centers, look out that it's coming for way more than picture. Well, and I agree with that, that aspect of it. But then I also think it comes down to one huge category film editing. That's yeah, editing will be huge and it will be big. And they were smart last year. That's usually kind of early. They buried it last year. They waited to do it because of the Sean Baker North thing. So but again if editing goes to F1 then it's it's like we've gotten a first and then it's deflated. It's just like okay. Yeah. But if editing goes to one battle or centers. Oh boy. Look out for. Yeah exactly, exactly. And that could throw a monkey wrench into our best picture if we go in this way with it. Because then if film editing wins for one battle for best for film editing, then it really it really will then be like, well, do you not give it Best picture then? Like like, I mean, yeah, it does happen. I mean, they, they do split those. But yeah, I think this is really interesting. So we, we thankfully only have Hamnett winning one award. We have Marty Supreme winning a big fat donut zero boom goose egg F1 winning two. But those are big I mean editing is a big one. It's a huge one. It's huge. It's it's interesting I don't know if I feel confident saying one battle is a lock to win. Anything maybe director is its strongest award. Which sounds really weird to say because it's such a huge award and he's never won. But sinners is locked for few sinners will absolutely win casting and it will absolutely win original screenplay. Absolutely. Yes. And and I think and I and I think I think it, I think it's going to take Best picture for all of these reasons and then. Yes support I mean supporting actor and actress. If Lindo and Moussaka win, look out if Sean Penn you know if it goes to Sean Penn and Teyana Taylor, it's just kind of fun. We have you know it's sinners verse one battle. But it's all good spirited because it's the same studio. You're not going to see any smear tactics against them because they're repped by the same studio. And if you look at like if we do have just the acting awards alone, if you have Michael B Jordan, you have Stellan Skarsgard, you have Jessie Buckley, and you have Tana Taylor. I mean, just beautifully checks all the boxes that one likes. It's very diverse and it's very well earned, very diverse. They. Yeah. Well their awards that'd be that was good. That was okay. We're very line check back with us. We'll, we'll will promote it on X, will promote it on Instagram when the live stream will be. But plan on to tune in. We'll do. Oh, God. They start earlier 4 p.m. Pacific Standard. So I think we've been trying to get the live stream up at two Pacific Standard Time. And then we kind of end around 334 depending on how long ago. So in between 2 and 230 Pacific Standard Time on Sunday, March 15th, this one will go live on IG with our final predictions. I'm sure there'll be some playful ball busting from my co-host here as there tends to be some ribbing. Okay, all right. That was a fun part one. We're going to move on to part two. Looks like it's going to be a supersized episode. That's okay. It's Saturday, we're having fun. And I just finished my Celsius. I just it's part two, baby. Here we go. W-why w Oscars I don't know, we've never done anything like, exactly like this, but it's just fun. I do this every year on my own anyway. Not for every single category, but we have ten categories here. The kind of ten, you know, the eight big ones. And then we add cinematography and editing because we're big fans of those. It sounds, you know, we don't have score doesn't mean we don't like score. Just, you know, we're going to move it along. Every single nominee and winner is our pick. The only criteria is that it had to play in an American cinema in 2025. That's it. So how many movies are available? What like 500. Those are all eligible. At least with mine, you're going to hear a lot of repetition in the nominees and in the winners. But the Oscars are the same. We said the word sinners and Hamlet a lot. We said Frankenstein a lot. We said one battle after another, a lot. It's not. It's usually not too many individual movies that are nominated for Oscars. Every year. Yes, they get nominated for a bunch. And that's kind of the same here. But this is a good idea you wanted to use, was your idea to do. And we're going to add it in here. And I like this obviously. No no, no, let's just go. Let's just let's just start with the editing. Let's fucking go. Yeah. Let's name your nominees and then your winner, and then I'll do mine. All right. So I have for best editing and for the reasons that we spoke about. Yeah. I got F1 nominated I would I've got F1 nominated because wow I do look at that as like, you can't look at any movie made like that and not appreciate the craftsmanship and the amount of time that it took to put some of that together. So I have that's one of my nominations. I have one battle after another nominated. I have Begonia nominated. I have Sentimental Value nominated. Good for you. That's a good, good pick. And and I have no other choice. Nominated. Wow. Yes. And your winner, sir. One battle. I love it. You got. You just love to see it. We're kind of close. You left one often. I'm very surprised about not left one off, but. So we only have one different. Your F1, it's different. So I have begonia. Okay. No other choice. One battle after another. Sentimental value and train dreams. I thought train dreams cut together like, a visual poem. It's beautiful. And, the narration helps with that a lot. So, good picks were were pretty lined. But again, yes, one battle after another wins. Yep yep yep yep yep yep. No other choice. I'm glad that made both of our list because that I mean the editing of that. It was nuts. It was so cool. Oh my god. Shocking that it's not nominated for Best International Feature. Yeah, that's shocking. That's not even nominated for Best Picture. Not for anything. The fact that it's not nominated for anything, it's it's it is, honestly, like, even though it. Yeah. Because it didn't make my top ten. It's really a big problem for me. But I did say on there that I did think that that was one of the most well crafted movies made of the entire year, a top to bottom cinematography. I like this. You go first and then I'll go. It's going to be easy to know who I picked to win this, but I've got also a Veloso for Train Dreams nominated. I have got Kim Woo hyung for no other choice, because I do believe that that was one of the best shot movies of the entire year. Oh, yeah, I've got Michael Baumann for one battle after another. Peter Andrews presents. Oh, nice. You guys and I. And this you might not agree with this, but I have got Christopher Blauvelt for the mastermind nominee. Who's I thought that movie even though it's so the slow pace of it. Every single fucking frame of that movie I was in love with, I was for emotional reasons. I, I really, really, really love the way that movie looked. Yeah, that that's fair. That it was a choice to have that movie look the way it did. With. Yes, a friend of the pod, Igor, in my other cinematography buddies, we would text each other pictures and be like, did they forget to use a LUT? Which is, you know, when you shoot something like in raw Camera Raw or something, it has this like it can have this gold kind of sheen over it that you're supposed to, you know, knock out with a lot or another filter in editing, when you're doing color. So we were just joking about that. But that's something that they like left on probably to help preserve like the old, the flashback feel of it or what am I trying to say, period piece feel of it. Yeah. Yeah, it was it was a choice. You know, one thing we didn't I keep forgetting to mention. Elena's in the mastermind a lot of times. Yes, she was in the mastermind. Yeah, she's in the fucking, the what the hell's it called? The wedding. The bride, the the couples, the bride, the couple. No, not the bride. What's the one with Robert Pattinson and Zendaya? What the hell is that called? Oh, the drama, the drama. She's not. I'm excited for the drama. I'm so excited I am too. I wish that comes out like the week after I'm there. All right. Who do you have winning, though? Of my nominations, I have Adolfo Veloso for Train Dreams. Winning. I hear you make sense. Presence. Surprise me. I didn't even that. That should make my cut, but it didn't. Here we go. Best cinematography. Strange dreams is not a nominee. No, I said presence. Presence. Show me my cut. But it's in. Yeah. Oh, yeah. All fucking right up there. I was like, what do you me best cinematography from from me. Begonia love the way that looked. Yeah. No other choice. Yeah. Nouvelle vague really like the way that it just felt like you were watching a French New Wave film from the 60s. A lot of that was, low key visual effects that you were not very obvious, but love the way it look. One battle after another and train dreams with one battle after another. Winning. Sorry. Whoa! The hills, man. The hills, the hills. The up and down. One scene, though. One scene, one scene. Do you know me? All the masters are in that shot where you don't even know that it's a master. He's like changing the perspective. And go back and watch one battle after another. Yeah. Go back. All right. Fine. I'll. I was about to go. All. I was about to lose it and lose it. That crazy bastard reshot the entire opening to the movie because he didn't like the way it looked. The first time they did it. He did. They just reshot it. They just were like, that's part of his process. He didn't like, we can do better. And they did the Benicio stuff, all that. Benicio added all that, and then they decided to include that in the script. None of that was in the original script. You know, we got a Latino Harriet Tubman Harriet Tubman situation from legit from the heart. Oh, no cash. That was all him. He just made that up. Like he just added that into his story. Okay. All right, so you have train dreams fare. That'd be my number two pick, love. The president's nomination. I won battle winning original screenplay nominees. And your winner, please. All right, I'm a fan of this, so I have original screenplay. I have Eva Victor for sorry baby. Nominated. Nice. I, I have Roberts Coppola for Blue Moon. Nominated. I don't know how I'm going to say this. You don't have to say vote. And, they wrote it as steal vote in hokey. How can I treasure. Yeah. You came for your for sentimental value, Mary Bronstein. If I had legs, I'd kick you. And I just for Panahi for it was just an accident. Those are my original screenplay. Knives. I like those a lot. Were okay. And then give me your winner, and then I'll do mine. I have sentimental value winning this. Jesus Christ, I'll just jump. I haven't winning two. I can't believe where this line that that would. It's my pick to win. Sentimental value. Original screenplay. Oh, shit. I swear to God, I swear to God. Nominees are, oh again. Only one off. This is crazy. Wow. Never been more like I snuck in cloud in there because I loved cloud. I love that some people might argue with me and say it's a 2024 movie. I don't know, but it was available to us in 2025. So that replaces your blue moon. Everything else is the same. I would if I had legs, I'd kick you. It was just an accident. Sentimental value. That's my winner. And sorry baby, sorry baby should have been nominated. They should have done that. That's. That's who I want to see. You nominated for original screenplay. Like getting those, you know, getting those people that we don't know that much from. I know. So yes. Great script. Go watch sorry Baby on HBO if you can, folks. It's a really fun movie. It really is. All right. Give me adapted. All right. We have PTA for one battle after another. Clint Bentley and Greg Cuidar for Train Dreams, Will Tracy for Begonia. And there was like five writers for no other choice. Just say, oh, there it is. Fine. And then we got Vince Palomo and Holly again for Nouvelle Vague. And your winner one battle after another, my nominees and my winner the exact same. The exact same. It's the same. Yeah. You can't teach this kind of chemistry. They try. You can only hope to contain it. I love that there's five writers. No other choice. I'm just going to say no choice. Yeah. Wow. This is. Yeah. This is awesome. So the only thing we're not aligned on yet is cinematography. But yours is my second choice. Like, I love the way train, train dreams, man. You could take snapshots. Oh, yeah. I mean, the background on my computer is literally the hills from. It's when you can just see Leo's car popping into frame and you fucking cheer because you know, he's coming to save his girl. It's a background on my computer, and I can't, and I can't argue with one battle if I if like in the in the Oscar, if it doesn't go like, I mean, obviously we're talking about sinners and all that, but I mean of those nominees, it's for me it's train dreams and then one battle. But like if, if all of a sudden miraculously won battle took cinematography, I would not be unhappy about that. Yeah, yeah. And I will not be unhappy if Train Dreams wins at all, because that means it will have taken something from sinners. Let's go to supporting actress. Yeah, we'll disagree a little. Not like disagree. But we're going to have different winners here. And I think that's fun. Oh yeah. Oh yeah. You're you're definitely you're definitely not going to agree with one of mine here. All right. So for Best Supporting Actor I have Teyana Taylor from one battle after another. All right. Actress sorry this oh split it up. Oh I say female actor because actress is nonsensical okay thanks. Quinton Emily Blunt baby. Smashing machine. Good for you. Yes. Happy for you. Yes. Kirsten Dunst, roof man. Because she fucking rocks in that absolutely does. And I and I mean this because I think she's the best part of the fucking movie Hailee Steinfeld for sinners. Oh wow. Okay. Yes. Does. Okay. So you're a little more open to the film than I am. And that's I mean, I like her, I've always liked her. I think she's a force. I think she should have won for True Grit when she was still a child. So I'm not I'm not mad at it. I'm not mad. Really. Like that was was always what I said. I go, the best part about this movie is her, her whole entire character. Then when she turns this loser an ally. Yeah. Anymore, and then we've got Zoey Deutch for Nouvelle Vague. All right. Good ones. Now who is your winner, Kirsten Dunst. Wow. Good for you. Oh, man. She should have been nominated. That was they. It probably wasn't marketed enough, but, man, she really should have been nominated for that. That's her best performance in. And maybe since melancholia. Like, she was fantastic in it. She was so amazing and man, she was so good. The like the only really the only good part about that movie to me. So I'm really I'm happy with that. Yeah I yeah I agree, I agree our nominees aren't dissimilar because I have one that may surprise you too, but I win. I'm actually really excited because I want to hear it and see it if like how I like filled out mine in there. Zoey Deutch Nouvelle Vague is my first nominee. Teyana Taylor one battle after another Kirsten Dunst, roof man. Oh yeah, I nominated her. I'm just going to say ignore from sentimental value. Love the sister. Yeah. Love, Grace. When I rewatched that fucking conversation of her being like, how did you turn out? So well? And Annette is like, how do you turn out so well? And then she just looks at her and she's like, well, we were raised differently. I had you like you took care of me. Oh, beautiful. God, I got chills. Never even heard of her. Never seen her. She's great. I'm so glad they actually nominated. And then my genre pick, not unlike your Hayley and Centers, is indeed Amy Madigan in weapons. Because I'm an Asian-American. Wow. I have been forever. Oh, no. So I loved her in that she was, I thought the best part of the movie. Your winner is dance. My winner is. You better believe it. Perfidious Beverly Hills motherfucker, Teyana Taylor. Absolutely. I also want to give a quick shout out that, I know you hated it, but, Emily Blunt in in, in Smashing Machine gave me post-traumatic stress. Well, it worked on you then. Sure did. My gosh. She, Hi. My shot. It was crazy. I the the look in like that. I don't want to say, like I had a girlfriend and Billy blunts Emily. Emily blunts. And this woman's change in emotional like from place to place. Quit. I saw the look in Emily Blunt's eyes when the turn happened. And then what happened throughout the movie when these scenes would happen and I just go, oh my God, oh my God, I know I like I never felt that said, I felt like I was right back. Oh damn. Anyways, yo. Oh yeah, I seriously that's why those scenes got me so much because I was like, oh my God, this is absolutely. So my anxiety is through the roof right now. Well, I like your window on her better than that performance. That's. Yeah that's. Yes. But hey I'll do it. All right. Let's do supporting actor. This is this is be fun. I have one in here. I have not fucked around. I've been taking this very sincerely. I have a fun one in here. It's one fun nominee out of all ten categories. We're doing. Deal with it. Go ahead. All right, all right, I like it. All right. We have Sean Penn. One battle after another. We've got Adam Sandler, Jay Kelly I thought that make it. I do have Jacob Elordi and Frankenstein in here. I have Aidan DeBose from A Begonia in here. And I fucking love this man. And I love his performance. And I can never say his name. Alden Ehrenreich, Arin Reich weapons. Oh, wow. Wow. That you took. Okay, I did not expect him at all. That's. I have one that you're not going to expect either, so that's great. I love him, too. I thought, like, I love Alden Ehrenreich. I have for a while, Oppenheimer really won me over, especially if you've seen it 27 times. And I was gonna say, if you've seen it, I'll leave it at that. All of is, you know, can we find out who's going to be on who's testifying goes probably you can really tell him in whatever. We're not talking about that movie, but him and Downey work that out. So cool. Cool nominee didn't expect it. So no Stellan no, I don't have Stellan on here. All right, I know who's your winner, Sean Penn. Like, without question. I didn't know if Sean Penn handler knows. No. Sean Penn. That's what I'm telling you, everyone. Sean Penn, what he does in that movie is acting at his absolute fucking finest. The characterization, the physicality, the specificity, the vulnerability that he like. I mean, he's like, the dude has just crafted an amazing character that I believe will go down. People will, years from now, will think back about Colonel Lockjaw as one of those names that will remember, like how you remember, Nurse Ratchet. Here you go. Like you like you like it'll it'll become that kind of thing, I think. And I just think that it's a master class enacting. And, you can just watch every single thing he does from even just like that line that we always talk about. But we, we, we have fun with. But what he's like, I love black girls, I love him, I love he he fucking like you. Look at him. You look at that line in that script and you're like, fuck, how the hell am I going to fucking make that work? That's ridiculous thing to say in this situation in a supermarket. And, you know, you go to a stranger and but like, you like, I mean, oh my God. Like, it's just like. And that's just one line. And, you know, his point of view about everything is it's it's a amazing performance. Yeah. No, we have a little disparity here because I think you've seen it twice and I've seen it. I think I'm, I have 11 viewings of one battle. Like I, I became obsessed again you know, bought it. I watch all the time. So we will be doing a commentary on one battle, whether it wins Best Picture or not, whether I'm doing it solo or we do it the day after the Oscars. Oh no, we're doing it together. But there's so many little nuances that you're talking about. If you're if you're rewatching the film, not going to give anything away. It's full of stuff like this. So like, there is, oh my God. There is a scene when he first meets the Christmas adventures in the hotel. He's when they're done, he stands up and looks at Tony Goldwyn, and he's putting on the show like, I need to be. I need to come correct. I need to be respectful. Like he's calling them sir. Who the fuck are these guys? They're not in the military. That's how much respect he has for them. He stands up, looks at Tony Goldwyn, goes, congratulations on your daughter's wedding, and we're staying tight on him. And then what? He is done here. It's like a millisecond. He has forgotten to shake Sandy's hand. The other guy in the room, you know, we need to get rid of lunatics, haters and that guy who's also, you know, and Billy Madison. And then he goes. He goes, Steve. And then you see Penn look over to his right briefly. And in his head he's like, oh fuck, I forgot to shake that guy's hand too, you fucking idiot. How did I forget to do that? This is the guy that got me in the room. I should have thanked him first, but it's a millisecond that comes over him. He does that a lot. He does that when he is trying to pawn off his daughter too. I don't remember the guy's name, but the tracker, the guy, you know, the respectful guy. Yeah. And he's like, I don't do this. Like, no, I don't do kids. And he's he's basically saying, go kill this girl. Now I don't do kids going to take her to Frankie. I don't want to take it to Frank already. You see, Penn calculates something in his mind, and it's the only time he gets a I'm talking a fraction of choked up, and he's thinking, and he goes, you know, the 1776. You take her, you take her and deliver him there. I'll pay your day daily rate. And he says it in a way that's like, I know those 1776 motherfuckers are bad, bad news. They may violate her in any number of ways before they get rid of her. But I need her gone. But there is a little, like, hesitation. Like this guy is just going to take her. Probably shoot her in the head and barrier, you know? Boom clicked on. But the 1776 guys like this is bad news. And he does it anyway. And he still does it. So like there's all this conflict within him. It's a great performance. He's obviously my winner. I haven't even done my nominees. My nominees are also in Deloris and Begonia Sean Penn. Oh nice. One battle after another Benicio del Toro. One battle after one battle after another. Here is my fun one. I love it, motherfucker. Sitting on plastic in a container and still got jokes. James Ratermann blood battle after another God, I love it. You know how many times I've heard people say, God, sit in front of me? I swear to God, he does when he's, interrogating Regina Hall. He's, like, sitting back in his chair. He's like any brothers and stank ass nunnery. And then he leans forward and laughs, and he's like, but you fucked it up on that. On the two yard line, he said something like, just the way that he laughs like that dude is so in command of who he is. Not as big of a performance as even Benicio. Certainly not as big as Sean Penn. That dude has never acted before and I loved him. James for atom and one battle after another. And then my fifth spot is selling sentimental Value, who I thought was just, relatively perfect. But yeah, my winner is Penn. I think the best performances ever I've ever, ever. Yeah. Cool. I would have changed if I didn't. If I didn't care about. If I didn't care about Jacob or his performances, Frankenstein Stone would have taken that spot because there was no way I wasn't going to put eight and Elvis in Begonia. We've like that. The fact that that movie, how Jesse Plemons and and him got slept on in these ways, like, I mean, it's just it's the whole movie crazy. Yeah. I mean, they gave it a few, like, they gave it screenplay, which was nice and actress, but yeah, it should it just should have gotten more. It should have on some. I thought it looked like it should have gotten. Oh yeah. Anyway. Yeah. All right. Best actress. Here we go. I think we'll be aligned. But give me your nominees. Give me your winner. All right. We have undoubtably my favorite performer she's ever fucking given, Jennifer Lawrence. And I'm. I love number one. We're the bullet. Then we got Rose Byrne. If I had legs, I'd kick you. And then we got. I don't know how to say her name, but not beneath for sentimental value. Good. Emma Stone, Begonia and Kate Hudson song sung blue, I love it. And Rose Byrne is winning it 1,000%. Yeah, that's. I mean, God, yeah, it'd be nice if she had, you know, it's the single nomination movie. It's really hard for that to win the acting prize unless it is irrefutable. Charlize Theron monster like it's. You can't give it to anyone else. Like that's it. But it does happen. Like I said, still, Alice, I think maybe Judy got nominated and even won make up, but you know, not too much. The whale. Remember the whale? Oh, fucking whale. All right. Here. Mine, man. I feel bad about Jennifer Lawrence now. I forgot about that shit. Oh, you know, it's because I have to go back. I that's a movie I have to beaten to submission because I love Lynne Ramsay so much in the movie. Just didn't do much for me. I thought it was long. It's still only available on movie. God bless you movie movie for doing some distribution, but I'm not going to sign up for you, so I don't know. I still need to see it. My nominees, Emma Stone, Begonia Rose Byrne if I had legs, I kick you chase infinity. One battle I loved her, I wanted everything to be. I wanted it to be nominated in every category. Acting category ran at a Robbinsville sentimental value Kate Hudson song song blue. The winner, no question. Rose Byrne no question Rose Byrne yeah it is it's the and that's the thing. Like we just went into a whole entire rant, both of us. On how masterful Sean Penn was in his performance in One Battle After another. I feel like I feel like we talk about Rose Byrne in this category because there's like, it's too much like they're they like we we always talk about, oh, you're like 1,000% like no better performance. But we say it so casually because it's to watch every single second of what she does in that movie is you really just have to watch it. You really just have to watch it like there's no other way to kind of understand the significance of what's going on. It's so layered, it's so present, it's so alive. It's it's you unhinge you. Her performance is so good. You can smell her. Yeah. That's a great way to say it. Yeah. She looks like she has not showered. She looks exhausted. She looks like she would be a burden to be around. And I believed every single second of it. I'm not trying to make grandiose comparisons. I'm not. But I watch that. And I was close to Gina in A Woman Under the Influence. Like I'm going, okay, you're in the same. You are grasping at this like, I cannot fucking win ness of life in this mania that is spinning you out all for deserved reasons. I think the movie is just really intense, and I don't know if a lot of people saw it. My dumb ass skipped it when it was in the theater because I. I didn't really like the title, honestly. I thought it was just kind of. I didn't know what it was about, and it meant that big one of the biggest shocks of the year, watching that at home and going, wow, this is so for me in every way. And yeah, it is a leave it all on the field kind of performance, which I guess a lot of people would say about Jessie Buckley, but again, not taking any different way, but very different, very, very different. So that's why you can't really compare it is you can't really compare any performance to one or another. Well, the Oscars do different things against each other. Yeah. So a lot of people. But no, I hear you're right. All right. Best actor. Give it to me. Oh. All right, here we go, baby. I love this category. Leonardo DiCaprio. One battle after another. Absolutely. Oh, yeah. Ethan fucking Hawke. Blue moon, let's go. Biggest snub, I think, of the entire awards season is Jesse Plemons not being nominated for Begonia? Ridiculous. Daniel Day-Lewis. Anemone. Really? Whoa. The man. Whoa, look at you. The only reason to watch that movie at all is just to listen to his fucking monologues. They're as crafted and as masterful and as emotionally powerful and funny and fucked up and as weird as anything you'll ever fucking do. And it's fucking astounding. The man is Daniel Day-Lewis. If he's in anything, he's nominated and he's that good in it. I did not care for the movie, but the, the, the performance is astounding. And then I stand fucking behind this. I don't want to hear any of your goddamn shit. Dwayne Johnson in the smashing machine. That scene alone of him in the hospital bed, talking to his best friend, him trying to cover up, you know, his addiction. And he's like. And I was feeling funny. And then his friends, sort of. He. He's done with it now. He's okay. You're going to stop right now. And he just fucking grabs the fucking sheet and just immediately breaks. It is really, really enjoyed those individual scenes. So he gets my Best Actor nomination. Not the win though. Who wins? Ethan. Nice, nice. Oh, I thought you're going to give it to the Rock there for a second. I was like oh no no no. But the nomination the nomination deserves it. We're only off. We're only off by one again. Here we go. My nominees, Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon, Jesse Plemons, Begonia Leo, one battle, the I did have DDL as well. I'm stunned you said that. I almost wasn't going to include it because, like, no one's talking about that. I rewatched the movie. It's a tough set. That movie is a lot of fun to watch, a lot of fun if you fast forward any time you're not in the woods. If you just stay in, oh yeah, then it's about 90 minutes long. You know, I was trying to watch it a second time and I'm like, I yeah, there's just some. You don't need to be taking me out this much and like, putting me back in the house. Just keep me in the woods. But, yeah, like, he's on fire in it. He's Daniel Day-Lewis in it. He is alive. He is. And then my final nominee. Not the Rock, but darling Hugh Jackman song Sung Blue. I just really liked him. Oh, great. Great great. Call his range of what he's believable and what he can do. And then when you watch it, it's the most powerful thing you'll see. Yeah. Noting that we have the same shared winner, Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon. God want you to say, oh, you got it. Yeah. Wouldn't you just love to see it for the Oscar? Man, I didn't know if he was going to pull that out for you as a win. I'm glad to hear that. It's it's that good. It was that fucking. It was between him or Leo. Because I just love Leo and one battle. But if I'm looking at it like Leo has, he has an Oscar. So like, it's, you know, again, just our fun little Oscars. But yeah, if Leo has an Oscar already, I would give it to Hawke. I would love that. All right. Director, so I got to one battle after another. Ho ho came. Yeah. Trier. Sentimental value. Jafar Panahi. For it was just an accident. Because that man is, I'm sure on a lot of lists, for his life. Richard Linklater for Nouvelle Vague. And I have this, and I mean, this spike Lee, highest to lowest. Oh, wow. I did not expect that at all. Wow, dude. I'm sorry. Don't apologize to me, I love that. Are you kidding? Here's the thing. Whether you like that movie or you don't, that man directed the shit I did. I mean, I guess think spike Lee Jones had a great time watching that. It's the first authentic spike Lee joint since Inside Man. Truly, that's what I felt and I love that movie. I was some with it. I did too, and but I mean, even if you look at it from that way, that is a director that is putting their stamp on. Oh yeah, with the the crazy camera choices, the soundtrack, the whole deal. Like I mean, I look at it and I, you know, I think about like looking at the movies that are put forth in the year. I'm like, well, which the one where a director is really like throwing their shit on there. And I couldn't not look at that and be like, I think I have to put him in here for that. He said that he didn't win, though. No. Who won pizza, thank God. Right. Good, good. Again, just off by one. Oh. Wow. Okay. Yeah. You got spike Lee. You got Ryan. Can either. I could set it. Spike. No, I Yorgos, that's our different one for Begonia. Yeah, yeah. And then the same Jafar for it was just an accident. Linklater for Nouvelle Vague, not Blue Moon. I love that distinction. That you had that as well. PTA won battle. Yo, King treasure. Sentimental value. Yeah, but I PTA winning. Yeah, yeah. Oh, yeah. Best picture. Only five. One battle after another. Nouvelle vague J. Kelly, which is the only appeared. Oh, no. Adam Sandler I have on there for best supporting actor J. Kelly. Begonia in train dreams. Those would be the five movies that I would nominate for Best Picture. I like it and say your winner, even though I'm assuming it's from here on out. That's just one battle after another baby. Good pics. Really good pics. Again. Pretty lined. I had begonia share that I did have no other choice. Yeah, yeah. Nouvelle vague one battle after another and then good old sentimental value, which I thought which really spoke to me more on the second viewing. It has a lot of funk. I need to see a P and shit in it. That is just weird. I mean, he has very deliberate references to persona. I never realized there's an extended snap flashback. It's like we're seeing a clip of his old movie and we're watching that. That whole clip is in one shot and it's this brilliant, like we're outside and then we're in on the train, on the little girl, just stuff like. Then I'm like, wow. So it's it's just a really well-made movie. But of course I also have one battle winning. God damn it, you're really making me think about this international feature film. Well, you got a week to think about it. So the only ones in our Oscars that we had different were cinematography. And my your number one is train dreams minds one battle. My number two is Train dreams. And then supporting actress I'm not hating on Dunstan Roof man at all. And I know you like Teyana Taylor in one battle. So there's nothing. Oh, yeah. We're not. We're very aligned this year. Very aligned. Yes. Right. Baby feels nice. That's right. Feels good. Well, we've run good. This is how long it is. It's healthy. Next time we talk to the listeners, it'll be a live stream. Tune into that. We'll see you. Yeah. You know how we shape it up. We only have four uncommon right now. And that. Yeah, that could even change again. I could go to Train Dreams for cinematography, though I don't think I think that's going to be centers. I don't know about international feature. I you know, who knows. It's it's going to be hard. You know tune in. We hope you are excited for the show. It's if one battle ends up winning picture. That's the third year in a row that my favorite movie is won Best Picture. And that had never happened in 2023 with Oppenheimer. So it's a weird streak. I mean, the my final thought of the night is that PTA needs to be an Academy Award winner. If he is, I will end the night happy. I don't want to see. I mean, if they don't give him screenplay and they give picture and director to centers, I'm going to be mad, be pretty mad, pretty mad. So I'm gonna have to bite my tongue on that aftershow. That's not possible. Well, well, there'll be a great hip, young spot for us to go to right after. Oh, yeah. To drown our sorrows. Okay. Barney's. Barney's? Maybe we did that once, and it didn't really go too well last year. We still. You know, we did last year. We stayed indoors and rewatched that show again, and it was incredible. I loved it. I had a great night. It's true, it's true. Let's do. What are you watching really quick? Well, I'm going to tell you all it's because I don't really have a good one and I don't really want to double down, on one of these, but I have. I am going to tell you, this is the one I want to see. Okay. But I, we were talking earlier about like our, you know, like trying to get in the best shorts, animated, everything. I really want to, see the Alabama solution. So I'm watching that for, you know, I've never really been a documentary guy. Never really have. When I was younger and I would ever hear of a documentary, I always were like, just make it into a movie. I don't want to know the real thing. I want to make it into something that that is going to be, like, digestible for me. And then I can't believe this though, but it took one doc to completely change my mind on how important these things are. And it was that documentary, 30 days in 20 days in Mariupol. Yeah. Whoof. That movie changed my whole entire, like, the way that I viewed like how important the genre is, because that was some of that, that that was by far and away the hardest thing I've ever watched in terms of reality put on film. I, stuff it's really, really tough. It's, we've sent you've sent, showed me some things I did watch Night and Fog that, 15 minute fucking holocaust. Yeah. It's tough. Yeah, that was tough. But at the same time, as hard as these things are, this really, really is vital stuff, man. Like, we like you can't. You can't dumb it down. You can't. You have to show these things for exactly what they are. And not stylize it. Not try to throw on these things that, make it more emphatic, because this simple act of just showing it for exactly as it is is what we need to see. And I'm not trying to make any kind of political stand in terms of the world. I think everyone's aware of all the bullshit that's going on in it. But more than ever, we need to see the truth of these things just so that we understand that this is happening in parts of the world. And so I'm just saying that because I feel very strongly about that right now, as you can probably tell. And so, I want to make sure I try to see all of these documentaries and doc and Ray shorts before Oscar Sunday, not even just to change my picks or anything, but just because I want, I want to know, like what is being celebrated and what is sort. Because I feel like in so many of these documentaries, no one will know about these matters unless they are actually shown on kind of the stage like this. So, so I do. So I'm going to say I am going to see is my what are you watching the, the Alabama Solution. And I recommend everyone trying to get any of these documentaries and that they can. Perfect. I'm going to switch. I had something I had a whole thing prepared. But you've inspired me. So that's usually what happens to people with documentaries. They see the one clicks things over for them. So this is wild. I, I didn't even know I did not set this up. The that one for me. Like I said, I started watching young. I saw Hoop Dreams and it came out in 94. Salt 95 when I was young, the one that really broke it open for me was capturing the Friedmans, which is this documentary from 2003 by this guy Andrew Trickey. And he started out by that documentary, started out as like a short doc about clowns in New York City, just like clowns who go to birthday parties. And he found, like, the biggest clown and was interviewing him on a stoop. And this guy just has a throwaway line about his family and how there's all this drama in his family from like, ages ago, and it's still going on. So jerky like ditches the clown thing and start just focus. I mean, he's still finish it. It's called just a clown. It's a documentary short. But he kept on with this Friedman family and uncovered this, like, horrific, insane story about how the dad of the house, you know, allegedly held, like, computer, trainings for kids, and you invite them over. But it was all he was, sexually abusing the kids, like, that's what he was doing. And it was this whole system that he had going on in his house, in his basement. His youngest son was involved. So this is what happened to the family. They maintain their innocence. They went to prison. They got out like they did all this stuff. But the clown that he was interviewing is one of the brothers. So what is revealed is like this crazy web of who's telling the truth. They interviewed some of the victims who some seemed credible, some do not. It's just it's this back and forth of like, this really, really fucked up family. That guy, Andrew Trekkie went on to make The Jinx, which was very popular on HBO, and his latest movie. I did not know this. I swear to God, I didn't know this. His latest documentary is The Alabama Solution. Oh wow. Yeah. Wow. So that's why I'm recommending capturing the Friedmans. And I have a plot up on Wikipedia here. When you mention Alabama Solution, I was like, you know what? I'm gonna let me recommend the documentary that broke it out for me, which is Freedman's, and I'm looking at his damn page right now, and I'm like, oh my God, he did do both. So highest recommendation. What are you watching? Both films capturing the Friedmans and the Alabama solution. This is a guy who doesn't hold shit back. Yeah. Capturing the Freemans. You're going to hear a lot of rough stuff. You're going to see it in the Alabama Solution. You're you're going to see it. And it ain't easy. But I agree it's necessary. So this is one of my favorite documentarians working day. He made a movie with Ryan Gosling and Kirsten Dunst, All Good Things, which is based on the guy the from The Jinx. Yeah, yeah. So he mostly does documentaries, but that is wow, what a crazy like thing that the documentary that broke me out or helped to is he's also directed a movie nominated this year that you want to watch. So yeah. Cool, cool. That is cool. Those are some good some good recs. It's been a fun episode. I am stunned how aligned we are. I personally kind of like taking out some of the competition of I'm going to beat you. I was just saying, like, it would be so weird if on Oscar day all of our picks are aligned. Maybe not the shorts, but we could probably do some negotiating and do that. And then it's like we have one common ballot. Then no one has to go to Chuck E cheese. No one has to get punched in the face, which was going to be my alternative bet, because it's easier than driving all the way to Burbank to go to Chuck E cheese for an afternoon. It's true, it's true. It is far, but we'll see. Oh, that was fun. All right, so we're predicting a bit of a sinner's one battle split on Oscar night. Look for some wins from Frankenstein. From. Yeah, two from f one. We're going to see you could, as with every year, could go any number of ways. We'll see how well we do. Let's call it 2 p.m. Pacific Standard Time. March 15th, 2026. We'll be live between 2 and 230, but just call that now. We'll post some stuff on social remind you. But I'm excited. I'm excited to see you, excited to be out there. It's gonna be a great time. It's going to be a great it's going to be great time. All right folks, another whole another Oscars. We're getting close to ending its fiscal year. Let us know. Franken what's going to win. What do you want to win at Wawa underscore podcast. But as always thanks for listening and happy watching my yeah banana. Hey everyone. Thanks again for listening. Send us mailbag questions at What Are You Watching podcast at gmail.com or find us on Twitter, Instagram and Letterboxd at WWE w Underscore Podcast two quick updates right under the wire. As predicted, the Writers Guild of America gave original screenplay to Sinners and adapted screenplay to one battle after another. Also, as I mentioned in the episode, the American Society of Cinematographers gave their award. We said it was going to be between Centers and Train Dreams, and the winner was one battle after another. Oh my. Next time post Oscar show what's going to happen. Here we go. I'm excited. Stay tuned. Light the candle. Put the lock upon the door. You have sent the maid home early. Like a thousand times before. Like a castle in this corner of me.